Tuesday 24 October 2017

3:00 Yarmouth Racing Tips (24th October)

3:00 Yarmouth - 

Nursery races. Love them or hate them. I must admit I lean towards the latter if not a touch indifferent. The only exception is when a horse may have been to touch unlucky, disappointed or the trainer has been a little bit crafty along the way. So what do those pointers bring to the table? A horse that is well in the weights. It could be the case that we have found one such horse competing here over this six-furlong straight. 

A 0-70 rated handicap shouldn't, in theory, take a lot of winning. Time will tell if Harry Dunlop's Chillala can spring into life after three so-so efforts. 

This Irish-bred daughter of Requinto was an expensive yearling purchase at 125,000G. With earnings of just £193 owners, Daniel Macauliffe & Anjol Don will be crossing their fingers there is better to come. 

Chillala has shown glimmers of ability. She wasn't disgraced on debut at Newbury when fifth of sixteen beaten five lengths.  

Nothing much went right at Salisbury where she jumped the path and weakened soon after. 

Connections indicated some regard when competing in a Fillies' Conditions Stakes worth £10,271 to the winner when returning back to Newbury, stepping up to seven furlongs. Priced 50/1, she led but was headed in the final furlong to finish sixth, beaten less than eight lengths. To be fair, that was a pretty hot race. 

This step back down to six furlongs and 0-70 rated nursery looks a positive move. Dunlop sent Fighting Irish to win well at this course in September. Considering this juvenile is under the same ownership it could well be a sign they mean business. The stable doesn't have the biggest string of juveniles but this filly is one of three that have been given significant entries and the other two are of a decent standard. 

Conclusion: Betting in nursery races is something best viewed in hindsight. It seems a brilliant idea if they win and bloody poor decision if they lose. Chillala has shown an element of ability and may well have been a horse that hasn't had that much luck. I would be confident in assessing that connections have fancied this filly along the way. With an official rating in the sixties if she is ever going to run a race this should be her day. At 16/1 there could be value for a speculative each-way punt.  

Chilala NR (worth keeping an eye on in nursery races)

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