Thursday, 11 October 2018

Remember Peter Winkworth? I Do...

Peter Winkworth Horse Owner, Trainer & Breeder
The title of this post...

I guess there are many, many...many, Peter Winkworth's in the world. 

I've calculated there are 510 in the United Kingdom!

I'm joking, of course. However, I am a fan of Peter Winkworth who, these days, is known as a racehorse owner. I know he breeds a number of thoroughbred racehorses, too. Readers may remember that not so many years ago he was a racehorse trainer.    

I was sad the day he retired from training because he was a very good handler and I used to make the most of his two-year-olds which often went very well at huge prices on their second start.   

Anyway, time moves on. He's still a great man in my estimations because he knows his horses. 

My niche within this sport of kings is two-year-old racing. Well, guess what I noticed today? Talk about an open-ended question, hey. 

3:00 Nottingham - 

EBF Stallions Oath Restricted Maiden Stakes (Plus 10 Race) (Sire And Dam Restricted Race) (Div II)

Surfman. I know what you're thinking...who or what is surfman? Is it about a man surfing? No! It's a two-year-old horse owned (surprise, surprise) by Mr Winkworth (Peter).  

This bay colt is a son of Kingman out of a Group 3 winning mare who was in training back in 2008 by the man himself. In fact, Shimmering Surf may have won just once in thirteen starts but total prize winnings over £100,000 detail a smart performer. In addition, she achieved an official rating of 107. Sadly, the mare died in 2017 at the age of 10.  

Surfman, bred by Winkworth, was the last of the mare's offspring. Interesting to note that he was sent through the sale's ring and fetched 140,000 guineas. 

Looking at this bay colt today, he is a big, strong horse. Varian has done a good job getting him ready for his debut over today's distance of 1m 1/2f. Backed from 6-1 - 9-2, connections clearly fancied this February foal to go well. He didn't disappoint finishing a worthy third place losing by a head and a neck. 

I really like the look of this colt. He has size and substance. There's no doubt he was ring rusty, inexperienced but showed an equal measure of ability. 

Just like the good, old days, I'm sure Peter was hoping for a winning debut. But you can bet he will be even more determined to see a win on Surfman's second start. 

A great reminder that even though so much changes in horse racing - often little changes at all.  

Sunday, 7 October 2018

Betting Like It's 1984

How many times have you searched Google for winning racing tips? 

What did you find? 

You may have found a number of successful websites including one of ours called Eric Winner. The trouble with so many punters is that they are not looking for long-term profits but an instant return on investment. Nothing wrong with that thought. In fact, it is something that all gamblers, bettors, investors would love to have in their armoury.  

Reading the literature to many ''Get Rich Quick'' schemes you kind of notice the fancy font that's highlighted in bold.   

I guess many people are not really looking for a gamble at all. Just a way of pretty much guaranteeing that they will win. 

Would you like a crystal ball?

Now you are probably reading that last sentence thinking I am making fun of the situation that so many gamblers find themselves. Who can tell the future? 

However, all investments are basically trying to foretell the future. If only I could see five minutes into the future! For starters, I would win Lotto. That would be a cool million or so even on a bad Saturday night. I guess if we could do that we would be hoping we could choose when we had that five minutes just to take advantage of the Euro Lottery for a £100M. 

Sadly, we can't see into the future. Well, not just yet. 


Compare Sports Betting Offers


You've seen the film Groundhog Day?  Re-living the same day time after time, in the hope of making it to a perfect...day.  

I have found a novel approach to gambling which is very much like a cross between Groundhog Day with a touch of uncertainty, but giving enough confidence that you should make a profit. 

Interesting. 

Here's an interesting question. Would you like to know which horse is likely (ideally definitely as we are talking Groundhogs here) to be backed? 

You are watching the betting pretty much sure Joe Bloggs racing in the 4:20 Wolverhampton is going to be backed. Substantially backed. 

It would be like knowing the future. Wouldn't you like to know how to do that?

You won't believe this...

I'm going to tell you how to do it for free.

How? 

Well, you may never have considered that non-runners are very interesting. Frustrating. Yes. You notice a non-runner when eight runners turn to seven and your each-way bet comes third. Bloody non-runners. 

However, these non-runners are like a goldmine.I know you have a puzzled look on your face. You're thinking I've either been drinking grandpa's medicine or taken a knock to the head or wallet. 

They are a goldmine!!!!!!!!!

Here's what you are looking for. A non-runner which is heavily backed. It's as simple as that. Because you can pretty much guarantee the same horse, running at a similar level will be backed next start. I've seen it happen time after time. Obviously, you need to be betting on the exchanges to make a profit or hold a juicy no-lose gamble. But it is a glimpse into the future without the need for a time machine or crystal ball. 

Don't believe it works? Watch and you will see. 

Tuesday, 2 October 2018

Psychology can improve your betting performance

The Power of Psychology
Psychology: the study of behaviour and mind. To many, this offshoot of philosophy is akin to witchcraft. Others, it is just common sense. While for the majority: ''mumbo jumbo''. 

The strange thing about psychology is that we know it works. There have been studies which show when you walk into a supermarket, we walk so many paces before stopping, turning, and look around. You've probably done it a thousand times and never thought about it. It's walking, you stopped, so what! 

That's why someone had the brainwave of making sure the isles, offers or security guard (joke) are seemingly waiting at the right place to get you to buy. 

It begs the question, how many other things work like that? It is worrying to some extent as you may find yourself buying things, saying yes to someone who five minutes ago gave you a free pen, or liking someone or something that in ways always repulsed you before. You just put it down to being Friday! 

The power of psychology. Neuromarketing. Mumbo jumbo. 

Have you ever watched a TV advert and thought 'what's that all about'. McDonald's with its catchy whistle. Tapping into all those difference senses so you when you want a burger, you find yourself in their queue ''Cheeseburger, please!''. 

You robot! 

I guess we are a little fearful of the unknown. What's happening to me? I went to the shops to buy a packet of sweets and returned with a vacuum cleaner.

What are those bookmakers are doing with all this witchcraft? 

If you open a new account, we will give you 10/1 that Chelsea beat Whatever United! I see it somewhere else 5/4. 

But what about all those subtle things. You go in the bookies and someone asks if you want a cup of tea. Milk. Sugar. (How much did that cost me?)

I studied psychology and gained a degree a number of years ago. Social psychology is intriguing because it finds ways of tapping into the human condition to get you buying. Why is one salesman so much better than the rest of the team? If you studied this person you would identify how and why.

But how does this all related to an individual like you or me making psychology work for us to be a better gambler or win more money?

The key to finding winners is , in many ways, watching, taking note, and understanding winners. For instance, one aspect which often reveals bigger odds (value) is the contrast theory. Basically, if one horse beats another, many punters, bookmakers, layers will fancy the same result if they oppose each other at a later date. I know there may be changing variables such as weight, going, distance etc. However, it has been proven that people often assess the likelihood of the previous winner as having a greater chance of victory than it does. Meaning that the favourite is often under priced whereas the beaten horse is actually value at bigger odds.

Just stop for a moment, and consider how many other aspect of psychology could be at play when you bet. 

Saturday, 29 September 2018

World Record Slots Winner Takes £13.2M

Jack and the Beanstalk
You need to be brave to fight in a war. But perhaps you need a brave, strong heart to cope with this amazing winner on the slots. 

That's what happened to 26-year-old Jon Heywood from Crew, Cheshire when he became an overnight multi millionaire picking up £13.2M for a ridiculous 25p stake. 

Who says playing online slots doesn't pay? This Afganistan war hero couldn't believe his luck when he struck gold. 

He said: ''After a tough year seeing my grandad die, the first thing I'm going to do is buy the best possible medical treatment for my father who is waiting for a heart and lung transplant.''

He is also going to spoil himself buying a yellow Bentley Continental GT. 


He drives a Fiat Punto!


Jon continued: "I couldn't believe that I'd won all this money at the time - and it still hasn't sunk in.

"It's amazing. The first thing I will spend it on is the best possible medical treatment for my dad. "That's more important than anything. Family comes first and I'd give all this money back for him to be healthy again."

His good fortune means he's paying for his relatives to go on a Mediterranean cruise.

The win is a world record for the largest jackpot payout in an online machine game. 

Take a look at Slots Verse  - Top Slots UK. If you want to see the best of the action then fairy tale slots is a great starting place for newbies or experienced players. 

This website is great as it details the best casino offers from leading bookmakers. For example, Leo Vegas give £1500 welcome package and 120 free spins. 

If you are looking for the best free spins deal one of their operators gives up to 300. 

Want all the info? Well, you can find it easily by exploring the Top 10 Fairy Tale Slots.

As they say: ''Enter the enchanting world of princesses and princes, dragons and ogres, fairies and elves. While not what one would initially expect as an online slots theme, fairy tale inspired games to appeal to the whimsical, nostalgic side of players, taking them back to a time of castles in the sky and pots of gold at the end of the rainbow. Developers quickly picked up on the trend, realising that players yearned to be transported to a world of fantasy and away from their harsh realities, hence casinos like Mr Green offer more and more fairy tale slots. Let’s explore the top 10 fairy tale slots out there.''

Thursday, 27 September 2018

4 Dark Horses To Win on Debut for Charlie Appleby

The two-year-old season is warming up nicely. Just seen the Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2) at York and it's great to see Kevin Ryan win with Emaraaty Ana. 

Being a specialist in two-year-old horse racing, I have four dark horses to make the most of any bet or wagers if you so choose. 

Make sure you check out BetVictor's new offer ''the guaranteed bet'' which is great news for those who struggle to get their bets placed. All new customers are guaranteed a chance to win up to £500 on every UK and Irish horse race. Ideal for these potentially smart horses all trained by Godolphin's Charlie Appleby because they are winners waiting to happen. 

Wings Of Time:

Godolphin is always a power of strength with an impressive string of horses. That's why you need to take note when they detail one of their two-year-old talents. This son of Invincible Spirit is out of a twice-winning mare, who was successful at Listed class and competed up to Group 1. This bay colt will be making his debut before the end of the season and worth pencilling in your mythical notepad. 

Court Poet:

If the expectations of  Wings Of Time are high then this son of Dubawi could be exceptional. The mare raced once but this two-year-old is definitely worth a bet on debut. Even without knowing where he will run I am confident he will start favourite. Why? Because his reputation will precede him. Also, the dogs have been barking on Newmarket gallops. So what else have we got to say about this talent? Well, this March foal holds three significant entries for top two-year-old races here and in Ireland. If this horse doesn't win a race I will be very surprised. Note: won on debut. 

Magic Illusion:

I'm quite taken with this bay colt, who is a son of Dubawi. Readers may remember the mare called Pimpernel who won on debut when trained by the disgraced Mahmood Al Zarooni. She won four from eleven starts including a Listed race. A couple of raced in Meydan. She won almost £100,000 in total prize earnings. Appleby has this colt entered for a couple of big races including the Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2). This two-year-old had an entry for the National Stakes (Group 1) so been held in some regard since early season. 

Ophelia's Dream:

This chestnut filly is a daughter of Dubawi is homebred out of a truly talented mare named Hibaayeb who was trained by Saeed bin Suroor. She raced fourteen times achieving four wins, two seconds and four thirds. Her two-year-old career was with Clive Brittain who won the Fillies' Mile at Newmarket. This was her first victory in the formative season although a runner-up spot in the May Hill Stakes (Group 2) proved ample ability. Bin Suroor took charge at three. She ran well on a number of occasions and a Grade 1 victory at Hollywood Park, USA saw her win $93K. Far from disgraced next start when placed eighth although beaten less than three lengths in the Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf (Grade 1). In total, Hibaayeb won over £400,000 in prize money. If taking after mother or father Ophelia's Dream will be a winner in waiting. 

Sunday, 9 September 2018

Three National Hunt Horses to Follow in 2018/19 Season

Might Bite
It won’t be long until the leading national hunt horses return to the racecourse after their summer break for the 2018/19 campaign. The November meeting at Cheltenham, Tingle Creek at Sandown and King George at Kempton are some of the leading events in the early stages of the season, while all roads then lead to Cheltenham for the Festival in March. 

Here is a look at five horses to follow during the new season which could help it become a profitable national hunt campaign for you as a punter.

Might Bite

Might Bite had to settle for second place last season in the Cheltenham Gold Cup behind Native River in what was his first attempt at the Blue Riband event of the meeting. Nicky Henderson’s chaser proved across the campaign though, that he is one of the leading horses in the UK and Ireland in the 3m division as he had success in the Grade One King George VI Chase and Aintree Bowl during the Grand National meeting. Might Bite is 6/1 to win the 2019 Cheltenham Gold Cup which may prove to be a big price if he lands some of the major races before the Festival. There are doubts about the fitness of many of his rivals ahead of the new campaign and he will be into his second season in the open-age category, therefore he should be able to lean on his experience to good effect.

Le Prezian 

Le Prezian was a regular in the big handicap chases at Cheltenham last season and he got his reward for a consistent campaign as he won the Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Challenge Cup. The seven-year-old is sure to return for the Cheltenham meeting in November where he is will be one of the favourites in the betting to land the feature race on the Saturday. Le Prezian finished third in the 2m4f contest in 2017 but he is improving all the time so could be the one to beat this time around at a course he does so well at. It is difficult to say what his target will be in March as connections bid for back-to-back Festival wins, however, as we have seen with horses in the past, those who have won at the meeting have gone on to prevail there again further down the line.


Samcro Cheltenham Festival 2019
Samcro

One of the star novice hurdlers in the 2017/18 national hunt season was Samcro who is trained in Ireland by Gordon Elliott. The Irish horse won his first four races of the campaign, including the Grade One Ballymore Novices’ Hurdle at Cheltenham. Unfortunately, the season ended on a disappointing note for Samcro as he fell in the Punchestown Champion Hurdle back in April. That error three hurdles from home should not put a dark cloud over what was an excellent campaign for the novice. The big test will be against the older horses this season and he does prove himself, he could earn himself a shot at the Champion Hurdle in March at the Festival.

Saturday, 18 August 2018

Betting Strategy: Why You Should Bet Big

Betting strategy - How to win big
Gambling. What comes to mind when you think of a gamble? Fun, the buzz, investment? I guess for most people it is a bit of fun - something to do to make that football match more interesting! 

I would suggest to all that you should never bet for fun. Why? Because it can be a slippery slope to a bad habit. How is it that some people are more prone to becoming addicted than others?  If psychology had the answer it would be a benefit to many who simply cannot walk past bookmakers without ''popping in for a little bet''.  

If you bet for fun - you need discipline. How many people bet with discipline? I have known a lot of very intelligent people. What I have observed about their betting is pure chaos without logic. It is literally like they have had a lobotomy. Remember the film One Flew over the Cuckoos Nest?  

Some people look at a race card, anticipate a bet, and a numbness comes across their senses, provoking a thought which lacks any understanding. It leads to loss, frustration and desperation (for some).

Bet with matchsticks if you notice your wallet is getting thinner with every bet. 

I guess you are thinking why is he mentioning all this stuff about not betting when the title is suggesting you bet more. 

If you put the time into learning how to gamble (bet, invest, wager) successfully then you should consider increasing your stake significantly. 

Why?

The time it takes to follow your niche to the highest level takes time. You simply cannot afford to be betting small stakes. Even if you are making decent money because you have big-priced winners it still doesn't make sense. 

Also, it helps focus the mind. A professional attitude leads to a professional approach. 

It can be so easy to bet smaller stakes to a point that it feels difficult to adjust even when your betting bank details you can afford to go to the next level. 

Once you start betting bigger stakes you will notice a big difference in how you look at your betting. Instead of creating problems it actually helps free the mind. Becuase you take those best bets seriously and they are the focus of your day. You are not searching for bets or distracted by white noise. 

Think about it...you bet £5 a time...does it matter whether you lose a small amount of money? However, over the weeks, months and years that continual five pounds equal a significant sum. Seven bets a week at five pound a time is thirty-five quid. Over a year we are talking almost a couple hundred shy of two grand. 

That is a significant sum. 

No one is saying you don't have winners. Some people may even be in profit over the season. But what will those £5 bets at 7/4f win you? What, the potential to win £20, £50 or £100 if you are lucky. 

Think if you had ten bets of £200 or twenty of £100. How would this impact your betting? I can guarantee you would think differently. That is the point at question. That difference between big and small bet detail a problem. Because, surely, there should be no difference. Without even betting, if you have a paper trail betting with your fictional £2000 at £100 a time. You will notice a difference. However, betting real money at big stakes will transform your understand, practice and success. It will also answer any questions you have about whether gambling is for you. Should you even carry on? 

I would rather lose £2000 with a chance of winning decent money and stop betting than carry on regardless thinking these small bets don't ''really'' matter. ''It's a bit of fun, hey?'' You know, that £2000 pales into insignificance over a lifetime. 

Gambling is a serious subject which needs similar thought and consideration. 

Don't bet for fun.