Monday 29 August 2016

1:50 Goodwood Racing Tips (30th Aug) EBF STALLIONS MAIDEN FILLIES´ STAKES (Plus 10 Race) (CLASS 5) (2yo)

EBF Stallions Maiden Fillies Stakes (Plus 10) over 1 mile on good going. 

Eight two-year-olds take part: six with race experience. Richard Hughes has been rather hit and miss with his juveniles on his first season as a licenced trainer. Nathania wasn't fancied on debut at Newmarket but showed good pace to lead for most only tiring in the closing stages behind some fair talents in Wuheida and Spatial first and second, respectively. This Irish-bred daughter of Nathantiel cost 105,000G at the yearling sales. Interesting.

For The Roses is another daughter of Nathaniel and clearly enjoys a trip. Ralph Beckett does well with his two-year-olds and racing in the familiar silks of Qatar Racing Ltd. Purchased by David Redvers at the yearling sales she cost 175,000E. The form of that debut looks fair, if nothing out of the ordinary, but should improve for that first effort and may well be sent to the front.  

Luca Cumani should have a line with For The Roses through Vanity Queen. Dubara steps up in distance after showing ability at six and seven furlongs. This daughter of Dubawi was fancied in the betting on debut when running on with purpose at Yarmouth and I had an each-way bet on her next start when stepping up a furlong at Newmarket. In truth, she had no answer to a couple of smart fillies. This bay filly may have drifted in the betting next start at Kempton but ran a sterling race behind Soldier's Girl but well clear of the third by some five lengths. Interesting to see how she fairs over this extra furlong. 

Prairie Light finished last when racing in the same race at Kempton, pulling hard and in the process ruining any hope of success. Better is needed here although it is worth noting Sylvester Kirk has been in tremendous form with his juveniles this season. If seriously backed, it would give hope.  

Paul Cole has had a relatively quiet season with his juveniles and has not achieved a great deal at a higher grade. Pacofilha is a daughter of Paco Boy and similarly stepped up in distance from six furlongs on debut to  today's trip of one mile. This bay filly should be suited by the greater test of stamina after being outpaced, but showing promise, when running on at Kempton, in what looked a pretty hot race.  

Richard Hannon has a powerful string of two-year-olds although the stable does seem to have lost a little of its sparkle with the new wave of early-season might from Mark Johnston. Desert Water is a bay daughter of Sepoy costing 80,000G at the yearling sales. I often find it difficult to assess Hannon's debutantes. 

Interesting to see Hughie Morrison field a potentially useful filly here in the shape of Curtsy. This daughter of the mighty Galileo is out of a triple-winning mare who won at Group 3. In general, this stable's juveniles need their debut but can go well if priced 10/1 & less SP. I have heard this well-bred filly has ability and worthy of note. 

Lady Valdean is best watched. 

Conclusion: A difficult race to assess with horses showing ability but struggling to get their head in front. Added to this, others are stepping up in the distance which should bring further improvement. I'd take a look at Curtsy. She will need to be pretty smart to win this at the first time of asking, which does temper enthusiasm. If backed to 10/1 & less SP should have each-way claims. If outside this betting guide I would take a watching brief. 

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