Monday 25 July 2016

ATP & WTA Toronto - Rogers Cup Tennis

ATP Toronto Rogers Cup - 4pm Monday

This appears a straightforward assignment for World Number one Novak Djokovic to regain the Canadian Open Title he won back to back in 2011 & 2012 with main rivals and defending Champion Andy Murray missing from the draw, as well as an absent Roger Federer and longer term injured star Rafa Nadal as many of the top stars get their body's in order for the upcoming Rio Olympics & US Open, meaning this is one of the weakest fields for a Masters 1000 event for quite some time.

Djokovic offers little value at 4/6 with Betfred so an each-way alternative is scoped to find better value at half the odds to make the final from the opposing half.

Stan Wawrinka 9/1 has been too inconsistent all year to put faith in to make a genuine run this week. Kei Nishikori looked very uncomfortable at Wimbledon where he withdrew during his fourth round clash with Marin Cilic due to a rib injury and you always get the feeling another issue body-wise is just around the corner for the very talented Japanese star.

Wimbledon finalist Milos Raonic is an eye-catching price at 14/1 but this is ramped up due to being housed in the same section as Djokovic so is readily opposed.

Dominic Thiem 22/1 one of the tours big movers this year but is running on empty now due to a gruelling schedule and campaign leaving the door open perhaps for a big serving aggressive player such as 2014 US Open Champion Marin Cilic or Aussie bad boy and unpredictable Nick Krygios both at 28/1.

Preference is for the former in Croatian Marin Cilic he has played a fair bit of tennis lately reaching the Quarter-finals of Wimbledon pushing Roger Federer all the way squandering three match points. Cilic has also been in Davis Cup action but is better rested over the last 10 days so should be match hardened and ready for a successful US Open swing on a surface I rate as his best terrain currently. The 28/1 is with BetVictor and at half the odds for a 1-2 finish looks big value in comparison to the skinny odds on shot of Djokovic or chancing players in Cilc's half of the draw considering their frailties highlighted.

WTA Toronto Rogers Cup - 4pm Monday

The field on the Woman's draw has three notable absentees in Serena Williams due to a shoulder injury, defending champion Belinda Bencic because of a left wrist injury and a now pregnant Victoria Azarenka.

The remaining top hopes will be now highly motivated and feel they can win with the absent Serena Williams in particular.

Angelique Kerber 8/1 becomes the highest seed in the draw now and she looked rock solid at Wimbledon but was defeated early last week in a far lesser tournament than a Grand Slam or a Premier Mandatory that this event currently is.

Garbine Muguruza is the 9/2 favourite but has lost two of her three matches played since her French Open title in May so doesn't inspire me this week where the Olympics and US Open will be her top priorities.

Agnieszka Radwanska won the title here two years ago and the courts in Toronto play to the strengths of a player of Aga's style as well as Kerber or last year's finalist Simona Halep 13/2.
Venus Williams 14/1 was embroiled in a marathon three-set final losing to Britain's Johanna Konta late into Sunday so is readily opposed at the age of 36.

Madison Keys has the scope to pop up at 18/1 from a difficult draw but it may be the US Open where we see the American young powerhouse at her very best.

The 18/1 for two times Wimbledon champion Petra Kvitova is of no appeal she is in a major slump of form and rarely has too much success on this surface for the game she possesses and wins she should have.

So it is between Kerber and Halep for me this week and preference is for Kerber who looks so mentally and physically strong at Wimbledon and is the best player in the Woman's game right now when Serena is out of the equation like she is this week.

Kerber took care of Halep well at Wimbledon in the Quarter-Finals and at 8/1 with Bet365 looks a very solid price for the World number two who has won a title last year over this North American hard court swing claiming the Stanford title 12 months ago, so should be motivated to regain points she had knocked off last week by choosing not to defend her title instead staying in Europe on the clay but comes here fresh for this big event following an early exit in that minor tournament.


ATP Toronto - Marin Cilic Each-Way @ 28/1 BetVictor. (Each-Way Terms half odds 1-2 Finish)

WTA Toronto - Angelique Kerber to Win Outright @ 8/1 Bet365 & Coral.

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