The Tour Championship & Porsche European Open 2016

The Tour Championship, PGA Tour
Hi All, 

A good week for all three of our selections in Italy, with all of them coming in the top 20, the best of which was a runners-up finish for NB Danny Willett at 20/1, missing out by just 1 single shot, very close to the win. So the place was enough to tide us over for this week’s event; article and selections below: 

The Tour Championship, PGA Tour – 10 pts Outlay

At East Lake Golf Club, 7,385 yards, par 70 – Thursday September 22nd to Sunday September 25th

Best known as the course where Bobby Jones learned the game, the onetime home of the Atlanta Athletic Club dates back to 1908. Tom Bendelow did the original design, revamped in 1913 by Donald Ross. Jones was already showing glimpses of his talent by then, eventually going on to etch his name in history by completing the 1930 Grand Slam. East Lake hosted the 1950 U.S. Women’s Amateur and 1963 Ryder Cup before the surrounding neighbourhood began to decay. The AAC relocated to the northern suburbs in 1967, leaving East Lake in the hands of 25 members opposed to the move. The club’s second life began in 1993 when a partnership was formed to restore the club as a tribute to Jones. The TOUR Last Week’s Outlay 12 pts Last Week’s Return 12 pts (level) Year To Date + 378.05 2 Championship came to East Lake for the first time in 1998, becoming the annual host in 2004. 

Dustin Johnson, Patrick Reed, Adam Scott, Jason Day and Paul Casey have the inside track to the FedEx Cup by virtue of their positions in the top five, able to secure the points title simply by winning the finale. No.6 McIlroy and No.7 Spieth hold just slightly less control, needing to win while Johnson and perhaps Reed do not finish alone in second. Points have been reset after the BMW Championship, allowing everyone a mathematical chance of claiming the crown. For No.30 Charl Schwartzel to win, though, Johnson would have to finish in the bottom two at East Lake. Day’s status is in question after a sore back forced him to withdraw midway through the final round of the BMW Championship. The Aussie has pushed through back woes to win in other instances, including the WGC Dell Match Play in March.

NAP – JORDAN SPIETH 10/1 (BetFair) 5 pts WIN 

Jordan’s playoff record so far this year reads 10th, 21st and 9th and I think he is brewing ready to win again. He won here last year by 4 shots, and was also tied 2nd in 2013 – so he clearly gets on well with the East Lake layout. The fact that despite an average season by his standards he is still ranked 2nd in strokes gained putting on tour will always see Jordan Spieth there or there abouts should he turn up with a half decent long game. 

NB – BRANDT SNEDEKER 35/1 (SkyBet) 1.5 pts EW

Having won here by three shots as recently as 2012, Brandt is enjoying his best season since then, and sits in 11th place going into the FedEx Cup finale. Coupled with his win this year Brandt Snedeker has enjoyed seven top 10 finishes, with his recent form also looking strong, with eight cuts made in a row, including two top 5 finishes.

IWAC – J.B. HOLMES 40/1 (SkyBet) 1 pt EW 

Confidence will be sky high in the J.B Holmes camp with his tied 4th place finish in the last playoff event only a fortnight ago seeing him secure one of Davis Love III’s Ryder Cup wildcards. He also showed that he has the game to get round this East Lake setup well, having shot three rounds in the 60s for his top 8 finish in last year’s playing.

Porsche European Open
Porsche European Open, European Tour – 10 pts Outlay 

At Golf Resort Bad Griesbach, 7,188 yards, par 71 – Thursday September 22nd to Sunday September 25th

Golf Resort Bad Griesbach, which played host to a European Tour event for the first time in 2015, is Europe’s largest golf resort with six courses. 

The European Challenge Tour had previously visited the resort from 2013-15, when the Aegean Airlines Challenge Tour by Hartl Resort was played there. The course being used for the Porsche European is the Beckenbauer Course. Named after Germany’s World Cup winning footballer, Franz, it measures 7,188 yards from the back tees. 

Home hero Martin Kaymer will make his final appearance before departing for Hazeltine National, where he will represent Europe in The Ryder Cup for a fourth successive time. Ryder Cup debutant Thomas Pieters is another player who will hope to fine tune his game in Germany ahead of golf’s greatest team event. 

The duo will be joined at Golf Resort Bad Griesbach by South African Ernie Els, who is making his first appearance in a regular European Tour event since the Omega Dubai Desert Classic in February. The former Open Champion’s last European Tour victory came on German soil, at the 2013 BMW International Open. Eight-time European Tour champion Thongchai Jaidee will aim to mount a successful defense of his title.

NAP – SCOTT HEND 28/1 (SkyBet & Bet365) 2.5 pts EW 

Playing really well at the moment with two top 4 finishes to his name already this month, Scott Hend is an impressive 29 under par for his last 10 tournament rounds. He can continue that form this week in Germany, on a course that he finished in 4th place last year, shooting all four rounds in the 60s.

NB – RICHARD BLAND 33/1 (Coral & Ladbrokes) 1.5 pts EW 

In a similar manor to Hend above, Richard is another player having a real purple patch; for his last four events Richard Bland is an impressive 40 under par, seeing him secure two top 5 finishes along the way. He also arrives here in Germany with positive memories from last year’s event, where an opening round of 65 helped him to finish inside the 10.

IWAC – RICKARD KARLBERG 40/1 (Ladbrokes) 1pt EW 

A score of 12 under par on this course last year was good enough to see Rickard finishing in the top 5; this finish included three impressive scores of 66, 67 and a 68. There were signs last week that Rikard Karlberg may be playing himself back into that sort of form once again, where three rounds in the 60s saw him finish on a 14 under par today and inside the top 12.

NOTE: With only 30 players in the field on the PGA Tour, SkyBet is the place to be, still offering top 5 places at 1/4 odds. For the European Tour event, PaddyPower are offering top 7 places at 1/5 odds. All odds included in the above article are simply the highest odds available at the time of writing sourced via Odds Checker.

This Week’s Outlay – 20 pts 

Hope you have a good week, and good luck to all those following, 

Stu @PriestleyStuart 

sjpriestley_pga@btinternet.com

Top 14: Racing corrects Toulon

Racing 92 did relapse severely Toulon (41-30) at home Sunday during a reunion between the two clubs on the occasion of the 5th day of Top 14 and nearly three months after the final championship already won by the Parisians.

Thinning was short term for the RCT, which had raised its head by winning with skill in Toulouse last Sunday (32-15, offensive bonus to the key) after a poor start to the season marked by two defeats in three exits. The Var yet leave Colombes (Hauts-de-Seine) Full suitcase doubts that go with conceded six trials before rubbing in Clermont and Montpellier then move to La Rochelle. Online casino players can place their bet on the best rugby players. 

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Next week and probably the following promise to be choppy over the Bay, and Diego Dominguez Manager ears should whistle again, despite two tries late in the game that is somewhat mitigated by the extent of the defeat. There is little chance indeed that the volcanic Toulon president Mourad Boudjellal, who was out of joint there ten days after the setback at home against Brive (21-25) have enjoyed this rout. Moreover, suffered against Racing 92, who had already beaten his team in late June in the final Top 14 (29-21) after eliminated in the quarterfinals of the European Cup in April (19-16).

A tripled Imhoff

Unlike Toulon, Parisians, winners with bonus point, they have driven the questions brought back from a disastrous trip to Clermont last Saturday (10-47). They were then deliberately deprived of certain frames (Carter, Imhoff, Szarzewski, Lauret), and back on Sunday changed the face of the team. Especially those of New Zealand and Argentina. Almost perfect in front of goal, the former All Black was particularly decisive on the second try, scored by Imhoff (22) and the fifth trial (56th), marked by Laulala. The Puma scored it a hat-trick, the first test after a number of tight rope along the sideline and overflow framing on Leigh Halfpenny (17th).

Back in the six first places, Racing can calmly deal with moving to Castres on Saturday. It cannot be said of the RCT, though there is no danger in delay in the accounts (8th to the point of the 6th place). But Mourad Boudjellal is not the type to attach the classification only.
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Italian Open, European Tour 2016

Italian Open, European Tour 2016
Hi All,

Not the greatest of weeks, with top 20 finishes from both Bubba Watson in America and Pablo Larrazabal in Europe the best we could muster. I am quite confident about finding the winner with this week’s selections, as all have points to prove heading into the Ryder Cup; and with all showing great form at this Milan venue 12 months ago, it should be the stage for the cream to rise to the top. As always stay sensible with the staking plan, long term profit is our objective. This week’s article and selections below: 

Italian Open, European Tour – 10 pts Outlay 

At Golf Club Milano, 7,156 yards, par 71 – Thursday September 15th to Sunday September 18th 

Designed by James Peter Gannon and opened in 1928, Golf Club Milano sits next to the famous Monza racetrack. The course was later renovated by Silvio Grappasoni. There are three nine-hole courses onsite with this year’s tournament being played across the Red and Yellow courses.

This is the eighth time the Italian Open will be held on the course after its return last year following a 24-year absence. 

Defending champion Karlberg is joined by a star-studded field at Golf Club Milano, which includes 2016 Masters Tournament Champion Danny Willett and two of Darren Clarke’s wildcard picks for The Ryder Cup, which starts in just over two weeks, Martin Kaymer and Lee Westwood. 

The European Ryder Cup theme is continued with Matthew Fitzpatrick, Andy Sullivan and Chris Wood all making their final preparations for golf’s greatest team event, which tees off on Friday, September 30. 

Former Major champions Padraig Harrington and YE Yang and 2015 European Tour Rookie of the Year Byeong Hun An will also tee it up on Thursday. 

As well as Karlberg, eight more former winners of the Italian Open are in the field, including home favourite and former Ryder Cup player Francesco Molinari.

NAP – MARTIN KAYMER 14/1 (Coral) 2.5 pts EW 

It has been a good few months for Martin full of close calls and top 10 finishes, this good play has seen him successfully gain a pick from Darren Clarke to be a Ryder Cup wildcard; he will be keen to justify his inclusion. This year’s Italian Open is being played on the same course as last year’s playing, Golf Club Milano, where Martin Kaymer finished in runners up place having lost in a playoff, and his tied 6th finish in the Made in Denmark only a few weeks ago show that he is arriving this week in good form, and I struggle to see him not challenging strongly again for this title.

NB – DANNY WILLETT 20/1 (Bet365 & Ladbrokes) 2 pts EW 

Since winning this year’s Masters, good golf has been hard to come by for Danny, but were definite signs of his old self at the recent European Masters in Switzerland, where he managed a tied 12th finish, which included rounds of 64 and 65. With the Ryder Cup close on the horizon Danny Willett will be super keen to get things firmly going back in the right direction; and arriving back to the Milano club where he missed out on the playoff by just one shot last year, having shot all four rounds in the 60s could see him return back to the winner’s enclosure. 

IWAC – MATTHEW FITZPATRICK 22/1 (PaddyPower) 1.5 pt EW

With a 5 th place finish in the Czech Masters 3 weeks ago, and a great comeback from a poor opening round for a tied 7th place in the European Masters 2 weeks ago (65, 66, 64 to finish off), Matt appears to be coming out of a poor run of form, and again in a similar fashion to Danny Willett this has come at the right time with the Ryder Cup, and he will be keen to continue. Finishing on a score of 18 under par at this venue last year, Matthew Fitzpatrick looks set to go close once again here in Italy. 

NOTE: For the European Tour event, PaddyPower are offering top 7 places at 1/5 odds. All odds included in the above article are simply the highest odds available at the time of writing sourced via OddsChecker.com.

This Week’s Outlay – 12 pts 

Hope you have a good week, and good luck to all those following, 

Stu @PriestleyStuart 

sjpriestley_pga@btinternet.com 


WTA Quebec City Open 2016

Niaomi Broady, WTA Quebec City Open, 2016
Quick conditions set to favour the 2014 Champion Lucic-Baroni at 8/1 to win the Coupe Banque Nationale.

A good betting heat from 4pm on Monday UK time this week as we return to the bread and butter of the WTA tour following an excellent fortnights play at the U.S Open which was the final major of the season.
Their are no Men's tournaments this week as the Davis Cup semi-finals will take centre stage from Friday that will feature Great Britain as they take on Argentina in defence of their title.

We head indoors on the WTA tour and play on fast carpet conditions which have suited the heavy hitters in previous years.

Eugenie Bouchard is the top seed and tournament favourite at 7/2 with Stan James or 100/30 general, she is ranked at 39 in the World right now which is way down from her lofty heights in 2014 and despite fitting the profile of a power hitter is not for me this week having not won back to back matches for so long, let alone string five wins that will be required to lift this trophy as no seeds receive a bye in this event.

Annika Beck at 6/1 is the defending champion and second seed, she leads a strong German challenge along with fourth seed Julia Goerges 9/1 and sixth seed Mona Barthel 16/1 however Beck despite in my opinion being at her best indoors is in poor form coming into this event and has a very tricky opener against the 2008 & 2010 runner-up Bethanie Mattek Sands who bagged a gold medal in the mixed doubles at the recent Rio Olympics.

Preference this week is for the third seed and 2014 Champion, Mirjana Lucic-Baroni, who lost in a close three set battle with Annika Beck last year at the semi-final stages in a brave effort to defend her title.

Lucic-Baroni is always highly motivated at this event and the lightning quick conditions coupled with her all out attacking, front foot game, not many can live with her power especially in a field with minimal strength in-depth such as what is on offer this week.
Lucic-Baroni beat Venus Williams in that 2014 final 6-4 6-3 and at 8/1 with Bet365, Coral, and William Hill should offer great value.

The 34 year old is in prime fitness at present and has reached a final in Strasbourg as recent as May and played fine tennis at the U.S Open blitzing the dangerous Alize Cornet 6-4 6-1 before putting in a very respectable performance against eventual Champion and new World number one Angelique Kerber 2-6 6-7 so also comes into this week fresh having had over a week to prepare for one of her favourite weeks of the season.

The other seed worth noting is the fifth seed Niaomi Broady of Great Britain.
She is showing vast improvement in her

Development, possesses a big serve and goes well on these indoor conditions.
She will eventually come unstuck from a tough bottom half that features our selection Lucic-Baroni but offers the best 1st Round value to win her match at 10/11 with William Hill & Betway to beat French youngster Oceane Dodin who hasn't progressed in the senior ranks as was expected of her and see Broady showing too much power and higher level of tennis with the great form shown coming into this at the U.S Open, that saw her gain a huge win over fellow British player Laura Robson who was on a seven game win streak coming into that match and then put in an eye catching effort against Agnieska Radwanaska who is a top five player in the World.

Recommendations - WTA Quebec City Open

Mirjana Lucic Baroni to win Outright @ 8/1 Bet365, Coral, & William Hill.

1st Round - Monday (From 4pm Timings not confirmed at time of print).

Niaomi Broady to beat Oceane Dodin @ 10/11 William Hill & Betway.

2:55 Sandown (9th September) BREEDERS BACKING RACING EBF MAIDEN STAKES (CLASS 5) (2yo)

Michael Tabour, racing, City Limits,
An EBF Maiden Stakes over 1m 14y on good going. 

Eight two-year-olds take part: four with race experience. Amanda Perrett doesn't have many juveniles in her string but a knowledgeable trainer. Chaparrachik is an Irish-bred son of High Chapparal out of a poor mare named Chocolate Chaud. This February foal cost 170,000E at the yearling sales. He wasn't fancied in the betting on debut at Newmarket, where he finished last. Owners John Connolly & Odile Griffith done well last year with the very talented Zhui Feng and five-year-old Group winner Astronereus. Chapparachik either disappointed on that racecourse bow or was much in need of the run. Most horses show their ability second start and connections will be hoping for more today. 

This looks a tricky old race. You may be better advised to spin the slots for the benefit of the gaming prizes 

City Limits is worthy of note because I'm pretty certain more was expected from this son of Nathaniel. Michael Tabour is an owner of quality juveniles and paid 220,000G at the breeze-up sales. This chestnut colt held an entry for the Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) which adds to the interest of this horse. Being priced 8/1 on debut suggests that a bold show was on cards but inexperience on a turning course such as Kempton can be a tricky place to start a racing career. Jim Crowley is booked to ride and a first-time tongue tie shows Cumani is looking at all angles. It would be a sign of confidence if this horse was backed and if priced 13/2 & less SP has sound each-way claims.

Delannoy is trained by Eve Johnson-Houghton. This chestnut colt races in the familiar silks of The Picnic Partnership. A relatively cheap yearling purchase for just 8,000G. The stable have debut winners although they are usually the better juveniles. Best watched.

John Gosden has a few flying machines at home. Good Craic is one a number of two-year-olds in the ownership of Godolphin. He wasn't strongly fancied on debut when starting at odds of 10/1 where he weakened out of contention over 6f. That was a hot contest. This is a marked step up in the distance which could see a better performance. The betting is the best guide. If priced 13/2 & less SP I would expect a big run. If outside this guide I would take a watching brief. 

John Best has had something of a rollercoaster ride as a trainer. This strength used to be buying talented two-year-olds but these last few years have seen the number of juveniles in his string depleted. Too Many Shots didn't show much ability on debut but ran much better second start at big odds behind Dourado. In truth, I don't think that was the strongest of races and other are preferred. 

Richard Hannon has a bit of a hit and miss season in ways. It seems that a number of trainers have stolen his thunder. The Grape Escape is a son of Arakan and homebred in the ownership of owner/breeder, John Manley. The betting will be the best indicator. Not too surprising, the shorter the price the better effort for this stable. Unless seriously short odds, I would take a watching brief. 

George Margarson is another trainer who can send out classy debut winner [less these days] or poor losers. This son of Poet's Voice was sent to the sales but withdrawn. The positive is that Poet's Wish is owned by Abdulla Mansoori who has plenty of talented horses in his string, including Mark Johnston's two-year-old Kilmah. Unless seriously backed, best watched. 

Mark Johnston has been firing on all cylinders this season - start to finish. He is a supreme trainer. Mister Manduro is likely to be fancied in the betting and should be respected. 

Conclusion: A tricky race with little form you pin your flag. City Limits could be a live each-way chance, especially if priced 13/2 & less SP.   

BMW Championship PGA Tour & KLM Open, European Tour

Hi All, 

If you followed the note regarding PaddyPower paying out on the top 7 in last week's European Tour event, then you would have got some returns from Matt Fitzpatrick finishing in 7th place, so it’s always nice when this happens, but I have not included this in our figures, as I know not everyone will have been backing through PaddyPower. Also, there was a top 15 from Matsuyama in America too, but not quite good enough to deal with Rory’s weekend. We will keep knocking at the door, and the winners will soon come. On to this week, and the write up below inclusive of selections: 

BMW Championship, PGA Tour
BMW Championship, PGA Tour – 10 pts 

Outlay at Crooked Stick, 7,516 yards, par 72 – Thursday, September 8th to Sunday, September 11th Pete Dye’s first prominent golf course was built in 1965, transforming a cornfield outside Indianapolis that Dye had purchased with the help of 60 “interested, avid and maybe crazy golfers.” As with other notable Dye courses, no two consecutive holes face in the same direction and players must be able to generate drives both left-to-right and right-to-left. Crooked Stick first ascended to the national stage as host of the 1982 U.S. Junior Amateur, later bringing the 1991 PGA Championship where John Daly burst onto the scene. The Last Week’s Outlay 20 pts Last Week’s Return 20 pts (- 20pts) Year To Date + 398.05 course also has staged the 2003 U.S. Women’s Open, 2005 Solheim Cup and its first edition of the BMW Championship four years ago, when Rory McIlroy prevailed. 

World No. 1 Jason Day, who first scaled the top after last year’s BMW win, and The Barclays champion Patrick Reed head up a 69-man field for the next-to-last FedEx Cup playoffs event. Open champion Henrik Stenson, who has been battling knee problems in recent weeks, is the only projected qualifier not to sign up. The Swede entered the Deutsche Bank Championship at No. 19 in FedEx Cup points. The top 30 after the BMW Championship advance to the TOUR Championship. Rookies Emiliano Grillo and Smylie Kaufman remain alive in the FedEx Cup postseason, though Kaufman needs to climb four spots to reach the finale. 

NAP – RORY MCILROY 11/2 (Ladbrokes, BetVictor & PaddyPower) 5 pts WIN 

Fresh from his impressive win at last week’s Deutsche Bank Championship, Rory will arrive here as confident as he will have been for a long time. Putting has been the major negative to Rory McIlroy this season, yet last week he was ranked 1st in all putting stats. I feel we are in for a super strong finish to the year from Rory. 

NB – BUBBA WATSON 50/1 (Bet365, SkyBet & WilliamHill) 1.5 pts EW 

Not the greatest of years from Bubba, with his only win coming right at the beginning of the year, but with the length of the Crooked Stick course, and the odds offer I am willing to take a chance on Bubba. With Davis Love III set to make his captains picks for the Ryder Cup this month, it is almost certain that Bubba Watson will be doing everything in his powers to get noticed and to be on that team. Still ranking inside the top 5 on tour for driving distance, this is a course that should see Bubba back contending.

IWAC – BROOKS KEOPKA 55/1 (Bet365) 1 pt EW 

With 2 runners-up finishes, a third place and a further seven top 10 finishes to his name this season; all that is missing from the form book is that elusive win! There are good current signs for all to see recently too, with Brooks finishing inside the top 10 in two of his last four PGA Tour starts, including a 4th place at the USPGA. Statistically, Brooks Keopka has the all round game, being right up there in off the tee, approaches to the green and putting statistics on tour. 

KLM Open, European Tour
KLM Open, European Tour – 10 pts Outlay

The Dutch Golf Club, 6,983 yards, par 71 – Thursday, September 8th to Sunday, September 11th 

Exciting times this week for The Dutch, as it hosts its first European Tour event having only opened its doors in 2011. A member of the prestigious network of European Tour Destinations, The Dutch’s signature Championship course was designed by Europe’s 2010 Ryder Cup-winning Captain Colin Montgomerie, in conjunction with European Golf Design. 

Groundbreaking construction techniques were used to create a dramatic and undulating landscape, featuring rolling fairways framed by imposing, gorse-clad mounds. Inland-links in style, The Dutch also boasts smooth, lightning-quick greens. Complemented by an awe-inspiring clubhouse, it is sure to be a popular venue with the players this week. 

Pieters is joined in the field by his Ryder Cup team-mate for the showpiece in Hazeltine, Chris Wood, as the Englishman makes his ninth appearance the Netherlands’ national open hoping to improve on his best finish of a share of 11th place back in 2010. Byeong-hun An, meanwhile, makes his first appearance in a regular European Tour event since last May, when he defended the BMW PGA Championship title he won back in 2015, only to be dethroned by the aforementioned Wood. 

Home favourite Joost Luiten returns to the tournament he won so gloriously in 2013 when he became only the second home winner after Maarten Lafeber in 2003 since the event became part of the European Tour International Schedule in 1972. Luiten will be making his first regular European Tour appearance since July’s Aberdeen Asset Management Scottish Open, having played The Open Championship, USPGA Championship, and the Olympics in between. 

NAP – PABLO LARRAZABAL 40/1 (BetVictor & StanJames) 2.5 pts EW 

A final round of 65, saw Pablo secure a 7th place finish in last week’s event in Switzerland. He arrives at an event here that he has a very good record at; I link this to the fact that he finishes he seasons strong. 

NB – ANTHONY WALL 90/1 (BetFred) 1.5 pts EW 

A man in form really; Anthony won the recent match play event on the European tour, then followed that up with three rounds in the 60s at last week’s European Masters to secure another top 20 finish. At odds of 90/1 still available, I think this represents a good each way bet. 

IWAC – EDDIE PEPPERELL 125/1 (SkyBet & Ladbrokes) 1 pt EW 

Spent a bit of time thinking about this selection, and at odds of 125/1 available, I think it is an opportunity I am willing to take. I have noticed a bit of trend in Eddie when playing in this part of the world over recent years. He has top 5 finishes to his name around this time of year (Denmark, Switzerland, and Sweden) in every season since he earned his card, including here at the KLM Open. 

NOTE: For the European Tour event, PaddyPower is offering top 7 places at 1/5 odds. All odds include in the above article are simply the highest odds available at the time of writing sourced via OddsChecker.com. This Week’s Outlay – 20 pts Thanks again to everyone for passing on your positive comments to my articles. Hope you have a nice week, and good luck to all those following, 

Stu 

@PriestleyStuart

sjpriestley_pga@btinternet.com

Betting Like It's 1984

How many times have you searched Google for winning racing tips? 

What did you find? 

You may have found a number of successful websites including one of ours called Eric Winner. The trouble with so many punters is that they are not looking for long-term profits but an instant return on investment. Nothing wrong with that thought. In fact, it is something that all gamblers, bettors, investors would love to have in their armoury.  

Reading the literature to many ''Get Rich Quick'' schemes you kind of notice the fancy font that's highlighted in bold.   

I guess many people are not really looking for a gamble at all. Just a way of pretty much guaranteeing that they will win. 

Would you like a crystal ball?

Now you are probably reading that last sentence thinking I am making fun of the situation that so many gamblers find themselves. Who can tell the future? 

However, all investments are basically trying to foretell the future. If only I could see five minutes into the future! For starters, I would win Lotto. That would be a cool million or so even on a bad Saturday night. I guess if we could do that we would be hoping we could choose when we had that five minutes just to take advantage of the Euro Lottery for a £100M. 

Sadly, we can't see into the future. Well, not just yet. 

You've seen the film Groundhog Day?  Re-living the same day time after time, in the hope of making it to a perfect...day.  

I have found a novel approach to gambling which is very much like a cross between Groundhog Day with a touch of uncertainty, but giving enough confidence that you should make a profit. 

Interesting. 

Here's an interesting question. Would you like to know which horse is likely (ideally definitely as we are talking Groundhogs here) to be backed? 

You are watching the betting pretty much sure Joe Bloggs racing in the 4:20 Wolverhampton is going to be backed. Substantially backed. 

It would be like knowing the future. Wouldn't you like to know how to do that?

You won't believe this...

I'm going to tell you how to do it for free.

How? 

Well, you may never have considered that non-runners are very interesting. Frustrating. Yes. You notice a non-runner when eight runners turn to seven and your each-way bet comes third. Bloody non-runners. 

However, these non-runners are like a goldmine.I know you have a puzzled look on your face. You're thinking I've either been drinking grandpa's medicine or taken a knock to the head or wallet. 

They are a goldmine!!!!!!!!!

Here's what you are looking for. A non-runner which is heavily backed. It's as simple as that. Because you can pretty much guarantee the same horse, running at a similar level will be backed next start. I've seen it happen time after time. Obviously, you need to be betting on the exchanges to make a profit or hold a juicy no-lose gamble. But it is a glimpse into the future without the need for a time machine or crystal ball. 

Don't believe it works? Watch and you will see.