Tuesday 4 July 2017

Wednesday's Racing Tips (5th July)

2:30 Thirsk - 

Situation was given a stakes race entry and completely out of his depth when finishing fourth on debut behind three talented juveniles. This is a marked drop in class but after such a mundane performance best watched even at huge odds. 

6:00 Bath - 

Quite a restricted race type. Three juveniles with significant entries: *Holdenhurst, Connery & Pursuing The Dream. 

Holdenhurst has a win penalty and may struggle to keep up with this drop back to the minimum trip. 

Connery and Pursuing The Dream raced at Royal Ascot last time out which details their reputation. The former went close on debut when runner-up and showed good pace when stepping up a furlong to contend the Coventry Stakes Group 2. This son of Clodovil is small but held in high regard by Sylvester Kirk. He was outclassed when 150/1 for that tough Royal encounter. This will be more to his liking. The drop back in distance shouldn't be a problem although it may blunt his natural pace. 

It will be interesting to see how he compared to Jamie Osborne's Pursuing The Dream. To finish sixth in the Queen Mary Stakes Group 2 looks outstanding at this class but I would have slight reservations that he may have been a touch flattered when running from off the pace. His second behind May Remain at Goodwood is more reflective of his ability, which suggests he is no world beater. 

Conclusion: A competitive race for an average auction stakes. Three significantly entered juveniles plus Aquadabra who is no slouch. Even Funkadelic has a fair level of pace and was made to look worse than he is when going a stride too fast at Wetherby. I think Pursuing The Dream was flattered. Connery will hold an equal chance. With just seven runners and two places for each-way backers this may turn out to be a tricky affair and I would take a watching brief. 


6:40 Kempton -

Richard Hannon's Billesdon Brook is a quality horse but had the bad luck to bump into some real talents especially on her second and third races. Stepping up a furlong shouldn't be a problem although I would prefer six furlongs simply because we know that will not be an issue. With an official rating of 86 this should be a walk in the park but we have seen in previous races that she hasn't had much luck. Strange as it seems some horses don't seem blessed to win. This daughter of Champs Elysees should go in at odds-on but I would take a watching brief. 

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