Deutsche Bank Championship & Omega European Masters

Hi All,

Well… We nearly did it. Our NB selection Bradley Dredge held the lead heading into the final days play in Denmark, and despite a final round of 4 under par, this was only good enough for a solo 2nd place finish. I was obviously a little disappointed with this, as it panned out exactly as I had imagined, but to me, unfortunately, it was clear to see the defensive nature Bradley approached the final 9 holes, in what was an effort to secure his playing rights, the polar opposite to eventual winner Thomas Pieters, who rightfully put everything on the line in an effort to get picked for the Ryder Cup.

We will keep knocking at the door, and the winners will come. On to this week, and the write up below inclusive of selections:

Deutsche Bank Championship, PGA Tour – 10 pts Outlay

at TPC Boston, 7,297 yards, par 71 – Friday September 2nd to Monday September 5th
In the New England countryside about midway between Boston and Rhode Island, the original 2002 Arnold Palmer Design creation stood just five years before Gil Hanse and consultant Brad Faxon were brought in for a thorough remodel. Fairways and greens were re-graded as Hanse/Faxon introduced “chocolate-drop” mounds and grass bunkers to give the course more of a regional feel. The Deutsche Bank Championship has been part of the Labour Day calendar since 2003, offering a traditional Monday finish to take advantage of the holiday.

While there figures to be a change at the top of the FedEx Cup table following The Barclays, Day has appeared close to regaining the form that made him dominant in the spring. 

Runner-up at the PGA Championship, the Aussie was lurking in the top 10 at the midpoint at Bethpage Black. Stenson, whose Claret Jug and Olympic silver medal made him perhaps the summer’s most consistent golfer, will warrant watching if he tees it up at TPC Boston. His WD at Bethpage Black came after an opening 74. Rory McIlroy, now down to No. 5 in the Official World Golf Ranking, hasn’t had a top-10 finish on U.S. soil since the Memorial Tournament in May. The FedEx Cup trimming down now moves to the top 70 in points for the BMW Championship.

NAP – HIDEKI MATSUYAMA 40/1 (Bet365, SkyBet & WilliamHill) 2.5 pts EW

Has some of the most impressive set of long game statistics I have ever seen assembled come this late stage of the golf season, and these must pay off sooner rather than later should he managed to get a few more putts to drop. Sitting in 4th place on tour for strokes gained off the tee and also in 2nd place for strokes gained with approaches to the green mean that Hideki Matsuyama, despite poor putting, is in 4th place also for birdie average. A quite deadly combination of statistics there that should him going close again, with a top 5 finish in the year’s final major and also a 3rd place at the recent Wyndham.

NB – JIM FURYK 45/1 (Bet365, BetFred & BoyleSports) 1.5 pts EW

With a delayed beginning to the season due to a long layoff with a wrist injury, Jim hasn’t wasted any time in getting back to the type of player he was before the injury. The type of golf being played at the moment by Jim Furyk has to be up there with some of the best being played currently, two top 10 finishes in his last three events, including the incredible round of 58 at the Travelers are a clear indication of just how well Jim is playing. Having missed the begging of the season, Jim is almost forced to have to perform well this week, should he wish to extend his season any further, as he is ranked outside the required top 70 for next week. With a 4th place finish here at TPC Boston last year, Jim obviously has the required skill set to be competitive here again.

IWAC – BROOKS KEOPKA 45/1 (SkyBet, BetFred & StanJames) 1 pt EW

With 2 runners-up finishes, a third place and a further seven top 10 finishes to his name this season; all that is missing from the form book is that elusive win! There are good current signs for all to see recently too, with Brooks finishing inside the top 10 in two of his last three PGA Tour starts, including a 4th place at the USPGA. Statistically, Brooks Keopka has the all round game, being right up there in off the tee, approaches to the green and putting statistics on tour.


Omega European Masters, European Tour – 10 pts Outlay

at Crans Sur Sierre Golf Club, 6,848 yards, par 70 – Thursday September 1st to Sunday September 4th

At almost 5,000ft above sea level, the stunning surroundings of the Crans-sur-Sierre Golf Club in Switzerland provide some of the most majestic views for golfers and fans alike on the European Tour. The Omega European Masters will be staged for the 70th time at the stunning Alpine venue, and will remain host until 2022 after the existing deal with title sponsors Omega was extended by five years. Famous in the winter months for its ski fields, Crans-sur Sierre closes under several feet of snow, however, summer provides perfect playing conditions for some of the world’s best golfers, and when you add the snow-capped Swiss Alps as your backdrop, it makes for one incredible tournament.

After the memorable pictures of Himmerland Hill in Denmark last week, look out for the picturesque par three 13th hole, which also provides an amphitheater, not to mention a spectacular backdrop, for fans to watch the action unfold.


Headlined by Masters Champion and the man defending this week, Willett; the 28-year-old currently leads the Race to Dubai and is ranked 11th in the Official World Golf Ranking. Having secured two European Tour titles already in 2016, he will bid to become the first player since the late, great Seve Ballesteros in 1978, to retain the trophy and will be bidding for an Omega double after winning the Omega Dubai Desert Classic title in February.

The Englishman will be joined in Crans Montana by his compatriots Lee Westwood, who won the Omega European Masters in 1999, Chris Wood, the 2016 BMW PGA Championship winner, and Matt Fitzpatrick, who has registered another European Tour victory at the Nordea Masters since that runner-up finish here in 2015. 


Meanwhile, American Bryson DeChambeau will compete in the event for the first time. The 2015 US Amateur Champion has made an impressive start to his career, finishing a highly creditable fourth place at the RBC Heritage just weeks after turning professional. The 22-year-old shone again in June at the US Open Championship at Oakmont, where he finished tied 15th on a very demanding layout.



NAP – MATTHEW FITZPATRICK 20/1 (Coral, Ladbrokes & BetFred) 2.5 pts EW

Last year’s runner up, Matt arrives back here to a course he openly loves. His 16 under par total last year included rounds of 69, 65, 64 and a 66, showing great low scoring consistency around the Crans Sur Sierre course. With two top 10 finishes to his name already this month, I’d be surprised not to see Matt in contention once again. Also, with Matthew Fitzpatrick set to be a rookie at the upcoming Ryder Cup, he will keen to show his game is in good shape ready for the off.

NB – BERND WIESBERGER 30/1 (BetFred) 1.5 pts EW
With a number of solid finishes to his name at this event behind him, Bernd arrives here off the back of a good showing at the recent event at the Olympics. Being an Austrian himself, and this event being from Switzerland, the impact of the before mentioned altitude differences will not be as big of an adjustment as it will be for most this week, in terms of club selection and the extra distances the ball will travel.

IWAC – TOMMY FLEETWOOD 66/1 (Coral, BetFred & BoyleSports) 1 pt EW

Somewhat of a horse’s for courses selection here, which sometimes do pay dividends! However, there are signs of recent form too, to aid the chances. When doing the homework behind this week, at the odds available Tommy Fleetwood was the one name that leaped out to me. Three times inside the top 20 including 5th and a 9th place finishes at this event around the same course all within the last 4 years, show a clear liking towards the conditions and set up of this Crans Sur Sierre course. A top 20 finish also, at this year’s recent Czech Masters could point towards another more than respectable performance this week.

NOTE: As per usual, please do be careful and aware of who you are betting with for the golf, amazingly a lot of the higer profile companies change week by week on what place terms they offer. This week at The Deuche Bank Campionship StanJames are still offering 1/4 odds for places in the top 6. For the European Tour event, PaddyPower are offering top 7 places at 1/5 odds. All odds include in the above artivle are simply the highest odds available at the time of writing sourced via OddsChecker.com.
This Week’s Outlay – 20 pts

Thanks again to everyone for passing on your positive comments over my articles. Hope you have a nice week, and good luck to all those following,

Stu
@PriestleyStuart


sjpriestley_pga@btinternet.com

1:50 Goodwood Racing Tips (30th Aug) EBF STALLIONS MAIDEN FILLIES´ STAKES (Plus 10 Race) (CLASS 5) (2yo)

EBF Stallions Maiden Fillies Stakes (Plus 10) over 1 mile on good going. 

Eight two-year-olds take part: six with race experience. Richard Hughes has been rather hit and miss with his juveniles on his first season as a licenced trainer. Nathania wasn't fancied on debut at Newmarket but showed good pace to lead for most only tiring in the closing stages behind some fair talents in Wuheida and Spatial first and second, respectively. This Irish-bred daughter of Nathantiel cost 105,000G at the yearling sales. Interesting.

For The Roses is another daughter of Nathaniel and clearly enjoys a trip. Ralph Beckett does well with his two-year-olds and racing in the familiar silks of Qatar Racing Ltd. Purchased by David Redvers at the yearling sales she cost 175,000E. The form of that debut looks fair, if nothing out of the ordinary, but should improve for that first effort and may well be sent to the front.  

Luca Cumani should have a line with For The Roses through Vanity Queen. Dubara steps up in distance after showing ability at six and seven furlongs. This daughter of Dubawi was fancied in the betting on debut when running on with purpose at Yarmouth and I had an each-way bet on her next start when stepping up a furlong at Newmarket. In truth, she had no answer to a couple of smart fillies. This bay filly may have drifted in the betting next start at Kempton but ran a sterling race behind Soldier's Girl but well clear of the third by some five lengths. Interesting to see how she fairs over this extra furlong. 

Prairie Light finished last when racing in the same race at Kempton, pulling hard and in the process ruining any hope of success. Better is needed here although it is worth noting Sylvester Kirk has been in tremendous form with his juveniles this season. If seriously backed, it would give hope.  

Paul Cole has had a relatively quiet season with his juveniles and has not achieved a great deal at a higher grade. Pacofilha is a daughter of Paco Boy and similarly stepped up in distance from six furlongs on debut to  today's trip of one mile. This bay filly should be suited by the greater test of stamina after being outpaced, but showing promise, when running on at Kempton, in what looked a pretty hot race.  

Richard Hannon has a powerful string of two-year-olds although the stable does seem to have lost a little of its sparkle with the new wave of early-season might from Mark Johnston. Desert Water is a bay daughter of Sepoy costing 80,000G at the yearling sales. I often find it difficult to assess Hannon's debutantes. 

Interesting to see Hughie Morrison field a potentially useful filly here in the shape of Curtsy. This daughter of the mighty Galileo is out of a triple-winning mare who won at Group 3. In general, this stable's juveniles need their debut but can go well if priced 10/1 & less SP. I have heard this well-bred filly has ability and worthy of note. 

Lady Valdean is best watched. 

Conclusion: A difficult race to assess with horses showing ability but struggling to get their head in front. Added to this, others are stepping up in the distance which should bring further improvement. I'd take a look at Curtsy. She will need to be pretty smart to win this at the first time of asking, which does temper enthusiasm. If backed to 10/1 & less SP should have each-way claims. If outside this betting guide I would take a watching brief. 

Barclays PGA Tour & Made in Denmark European Tour 2016

Hi All, 

Any week we are able to get out in profit is always a classed as good one by me, and non more so than this week, where on form South Korean Si Woo Kim took the tournament by the scruff of the neck and wasn’t for letting anyone else get near, so from a long way out it looked like we’d have to settle for a 3rd place finish at 28/1 from Brandt Snedeker, and sure enough this was good enough to just about tip the scales in our favour. 

Moving on to this week where the fun starts on the PGA Tour in the form of the FedEx cup playoff series, where week on week the field sizes are whittled down. With all the top players back out for the next month or so, and the odds on them now getting silly low with so many players at the top of the world rankings playing well and bookies running scared, I will be going down the value route for the next stretch of weeks in search of more profit. Hopefully a good run is ahead of us to finish off the regular season.

The Barclays, PGA Tour – 10 pts Outlay at Bethpage State Park (Black), 7,468 yards, par 71 – Thursday August 25th to Sunday August 28th 

Built by A.W. Tillinghast, the Black opened in 1936 and was a treasured public gem for locals for decades until the 2002 U.S. Open thrust the course onto the world stage. A famous sign greets golfers near the first tee warning that only “highly skilled” golfers should play the Black, and its reputation for toughness attracted such pros as Sam Snead, Gene Sarazen and Byron Nelson early on to test its strength. Snead famously called it “an unfair test” after beating Nelson in a 1940 exhibition. Tiger Woods captured the 2002 Open at Bethpage, and the event returned just seven years later when Lucas Glover won a rain-soaked edition. The Black joined The Barclays rota in 2012, when Nick Watney prevailed. 

FedEx Cup points leader Jason Day, also the reigning Barclays champion, and U.S. Open titleholder Dustin Johnson head a roster currently set for 122 at the opening playoff stop. Sergio Garcia sits out The Barclays for the second consecutive year, while Shane Lowry has opted to play the final European Tour stop before the automatic Ryder Cup berths are locked in. Masters champion Danny Willett is the third missing name. Emiliano Grillo and Smylie Kaufman, who won the season's first two events back in October, top a list of six rookies expected to crack the 2016 playoff lineup.

NAP – BRANDT SNEDEKER 40/1 (PaddyPower) 2.5 pts EW

Last week’s Wyndham Championship saw Brandt Snedeker notch up his seventh top 10 finish of the year; with a win and a further three times inside the top 3 to his name it really has been a great year for Brandt (currently sitting 6th in the FedEx Cup rankings). With the return of many of the games top names to the field, the value is there for all to see outside of the top 4 or 5 in the market. Having shot a round of at least 66 in each of this last three events, including two rounds of 65 in his 3rd place finish last week, there are few playing much better than Brandt Snedeker heading in to this week. What I also like, is that he has some good experience in the bank here at the tough Bethpage Black layout, having competed on this course in the 2009 US Open, and also securing runners up honours when The Barclays was last here in 2012, where he impressively shot all four rounds under par!

NB – JIM FURYK 45/1 (SkyBet) 1.5 pts EW

Whenever there is talk of golf about to be carried out on a tough US Open venue, my mind always turns to one man, Mr Reliable himself. Similar to the above, Jim Furyk arrives here this week in great form, with stand out rounds like the remarkable 58 just two weeks ago followed by a 64 last week helping Jim secure a 5th and 10th place finishes. Although his 94th place ranking in the FedEx Cup may seem modest to most, it is important to remember that Jim’s season got going very late due to a lengthy wrist injury, so in actual fact he has done very well to earn his spot in the top 125 for this event, having had almost half of the events as the majority. Having made the cut here in the aforementioned 2009 US Open, Jim Furyk also competed in the 2012 playing of The Barclays, both held around Bethpage, so he will also gain the benefit of having had tournament experience of this tough set up.

IWAC – SI WOO KIM 100/1 (StanJames) 1 pt EW

I have been following Si Woo Kim all year (currently 15th in the FedEx Cup rankings) since he graduated from the Web.com tour, feeling sure his textbook technique would see him break in to the winners circle sooner rather than later, he came close when losing in a playoff not long ago, but he put this behind him in great style only a few days ago to win the Wyndham Championship in tremendous style. Yes he may be the one that got away, but I don’t feel Si Woo Kim is a flash in the pan, and it has been said for a while it was only going to be a matter of time before an Asian competitor would mix it with the big boys at the top of the game, and at the spritely age of just 21 I feel confident that Si Woo will grow to be that man. The fact there is 100/1 available for the most recent winner on tour is simply too good to miss out on. 


Made in Denmark, European Tour – 10 pts Outlay 

At Himmerland Golf & Spa Resort, 7,033 yards, par 71 – Thursday August 25th to Sunday August 28th 

The Backtee Course is one of three layouts at the Danish golfing haven of Himmerland and its most celebrated one, having officially re-opened in 2013 following one of the most extensive golf course renovations in Scandianian history. Designed by renowned course architect Philip Spogárd, who also designed Carya Golf Club, host venue for this season’s Turkish Airlines Open, it sits 20km away from the city of Alborg in the exposed landscape of northern Jutland. Although it’s not coastal; it is linksy and often windswept so the 7,033 yards can often feel longer, with the respective nine under and 13 under winnings scores in 2014 and 2015 proving it’s no walkover.

Although qualification for Europe’s Ryder Cup Team has already been finalised, this year’s Made in Denmark boasts its strongest field in the tournament’s history assembles at Himmerland Golf and Spa Resort this week. Three Major winners, Darren Clarke, Martin Kaymer and YE Yang, head the field with the 2011 Open Champion from Northern Ireland taking one final opportunity to run the rule over some of his potential wild-card selections for his European team at Hazeltine. Home favourite, Søren Kjeldsen who finished in a tie for second in the 2015 Made in Denmark, is among the players hoping make one final impression ahead of Clarke’s wild card picks next week, with former World Number One Kaymer and Ireland’s Shane Lowry targeting strong performances to catch the eye of the captain. Horsey returns to defend his crown while the inaugural champion Marc Warren from Scotland is also in the field.

NAP – SOREN KJELDSEN 18/1 (PaddyPower & Coral) 2.5 pts EW  placed

Currently sitting in 17th position in the Race to Dubai, and having narrowly missed out on Ryder Cup qualification on both the European and World point’s lists, it has been another season where Soren Kjeldsen has been the model of consistency. With four top 8 finishes on the European Tour since February, Soren, in front of home crowds, will be looking to make plenty of noise this week to force himself in to captain Clarke’s thinking. Finally, and worthy of note is the strong course and event form shown by Soren Kjeldsen – in the first two playing’s of this Made in Denmark event Soren has finished inside the top 15 on both occasions, with the highlight being last years running, where he finished in 2nd spot after three rounds in the 60s.

NB – BRADLEY DREDGE 28/1 (SkyBet, PaddyPower, Coral & Bet365) 1.5 pts EW  - 2nd

The 2016 season has seen Bradley Dredge continue to take steps to get back to where he once was as one of the more consistent and top golfers on the European circuit. Three times inside the top 7 places this year see Bradley riding high in 27th place on the Race to Dubai rankings, and having made the cut in each of his last three events on tour, I feel Bradley will be wanting a nice strong finish to the season. With that in mind, there will be no better place to start than here at this event, where he has a stand out record in the only two previous running’s of the event, with an outright 2nd in 2014 and a 6th place finish last year, Bradley Dredge has never found himself more than 3 shots behind the winner come close of play at this event on this golf course, and with 7 rounds under par from 8 attempts he looks destined to go close once more come Sunday afternoon.

IWAC – KRISTOFFER BROBERG 90/1 (Bet365 & StanJames) 1 pt EW

There is a little punt associated with my final selection here, but Kristoffer Broberg has form figures in this event that are too strong to ignore, with a 67 and a 69 to his name in the inaugural event in 2014; and an incredible final round of 62 seeing Kristoffer finish in runners up spot last year. With this form in the book, there must be something in the water around the Himmerland Resort that brings out the best in Kristoffer. This season hasn’t been the best, and this week will indeed have to spark an upturn in fortune for Kristoffer Broberg to get competitive here for the third year in a row, and with him sitting in the precarious position of 113th in the Race to Dubai, there are lots of incentives for Kristoffer to play well back in his native Scandinavia. 

NOTE: As per usual, please do be careful and aware of who you are betting with for the golf, amazingly a lot of the higer profile companies change week by week on what place terms they offer. This week at The Barclays PaddyPower, SkyBet & StanJames are still offering places on the top 7 and 6 respectively! For the European Tour event, all bookies are 1/4 odds for the top 5 places.

This Week’s Outlay – 20 pts 

Thank you all for the continued positive responses over my articles. Hope you have a nice week, and good luck to all those following,

@PriestleyStuart

Contact: sjpriestley_pga@btinternet.com

Wyndham Championship 2016 - PGA Tour

Hi All, 

Last Week’s Outlay 25 pts Last Week’s Return 38.5 pts (+ 13.5pts) Year To Date + 449.75

Well an exiting week last week with our 150/1 shot Marcus Fraser leading the Olympics at the half way stage; he wasn’t able to keep up with the pace over weekend, and it took a good birdie putt on the very last hole to see him place in 5th for us which was very nice, securing profit for the week, with Grillo just finishing outside the places in 8th. The above forms an interesting point regarding a few bits I have mentions over the past months, ensure you are getting the best deal for your stake, if you had of placed your bet with WilliamHill for example, rather than the recommended SkyBet etc, you would not of received a penny back. Secondly ensure you are clear regarding deadheat rules, this is why I have always favoured SkyBet, as unless they are not offering bonus places over and above the standard 5, they always pay out in full at ¼ odds for the top 5. Moving on to this week I have concentrated my attentions on the PGA tour, and selections can be found below.  

Wyndham Championship, PGA Tour – 10 pts Outlay 

at Sedgefield Country Club, 7,127 yards, par 70 – Thursday August 18th to Sunday August 21st 

The Wyndham is the last counting event before the FedEx Cup Playoff series begins next week with The Barclays so the players are looking to finish inside the top 125 on the Last Week’s Outlay 25 pts Last Week’s Return 38.5 pts (+ 13.5pts) Year To Date + 449.75 rankings to secure their playing privileges for next season and to gain a place in the field at Bethpage Black next Thursday. 

Following on from last week's similar test at the John Deere Classic, the Wyndham is another event in which length is not the be all and end all. Finding the fairways at Sedgefield, in order to best attack the small greens, is of more importance than hitting it miles off the tee. In the eight renewals here, since the event returned to Sedgefield, 16th (Patrick Reed) is the worst any winner has ranked for Driving Accuracy. 

Davis Love III ranked fifth for Par 4 Scoring 12 months ago and the runner-up, Jason Gore, ranked 16th and that was first time since 2008 that the number one ranked player on the par fours didn't finish first or second so that looks a key stat. 

NOTE: Please do be careful and aware of who you are betting with for the golf, amazingly a lot of the higer profile companies change week by week on wha place terms they offer for the medal places, however, this week PaddyPower & StanJames are still offering places on the top 7 and 6 respectively!

NAP – WEBB SIMPSON 25/1 (PaddyPower) 2.5 pts EW 

The 2011 winner, Webb Simpson, absolutely loves Sedgefield Country Club and it would have been very difficult indeed not to back him. His form figures here read 8th, 1st, 22nd, 11th, 5th and 6th and he was beaten by just two strokes last year, despite missing eight putts from inside six feet!

With the anchoring ban coming into force, Webb was transitioning from long to short putter last year and how the short stick behaves will determine how he performs this week. There have been some very encouraging signs with the putter of late - enabling him to finish 3rd at the Dean & Deluca Invitational, 6th at the Quicken Loans National and 13th at the USPGA Championship and it’s hard not to see him do really well this week.

NB – BRANDT SNEDEKER 28/1 (StanJames & BetVictor) 1.5 pts EW 

Sitting in 6th place in the FedEx Cup rankings Brandt Snedeker arrives to a course in which he shot a course record equalling 61 as recently as last year; this coupled with a 5th place finish in 2014 where he shot all four rounds in the 60s shows he has no troubles in navigating his way around Sedgefield. With six top 10 finishes to his name this season, including a win, 2016 form is as good as ever, and with the short game skills Brandt possess he will be sure to be near the top of the leaderboard come close of play Sunday evening.

IWAC – BILL HAAS 28/1 (PaddyPower) 1 pt EW 

Another Sedgefield specialist Bill Haas is in good enough form to go close once again. For the last four years in a row, Bill has not been outside of the top 20 once, with form of 6th, 2nd, 20th and 7th to his name, including two rounds of 65 and a 64. Sitting in 31st position in the FedEx cup rankings, it has been a solid enough season so far without being spectacular; there have been six top 10 finish in addition to a runners up finish at the Valspar in June. I mentioned in the earlier event introduction that accuracy off the tee usually proves to be a worthy stat here, and with averaging over 62.8% for fairways hit, this also goes in Bill’s favour this week.

This Week’s Outlay – 10 pts 

Have a nice week, and good luck if following, 

Stu @PriestleyStuart

2:15 Thirsk Racing Tips (16th Aug) BRITISH STALLION STUDS EBF MAIDEN STAKES (Plus 10 Race) (Div I) (CLASS 4) (2yo)

An EBF Maiden Stakes over 6f on good going. 

Ten two-year-olds take part but the betting details this is very much a two-horse race unless there is something of a surprise. 

William Haggas fields Prazeres who finished third on debut at Newmarket just over two lengths behind Mutawakked who is held in some rHorseegard by Brian Meehan and denied Deningy in the process. Haggas often sends his better juveniles to race at Headquarters on their racecourse bow and even though a 20-1 shot that day I'm sure connections would have been hopeful of a bold show. This bay colt is a son of Sepoy owned and bred by Saleh Al Homaizi & Imad Al Sagar. That valuable experience will serve this juvenile well against his major opponent.

Hugo Palmer has an impressive string of two-year-olds and he knows where they sit in the pecking order. I can detail that Koropick is held in high regard by the stable being entered for both the Gimcrack Stakes Group 2 & Middle Park Stakes Group 1. This bay colt is a son of Kodiac out of an unraced Fayruz mare. Racing in the familiar silks of V I Araci this 40,000G breeze-up purchase could well prove to be a calculated acquisition. Koropick has the ability but can he beat a proven horse in his first start? 

Conclusion: Unless something unusual happens this looks a match. Proven form and experience will make Prazeres a difficult horse to beat but facing a potentially smart debutante doesn't look value at even money. It may well prove the case it is a great bet and traders will be focusing on Koropick and the slightly sign of a tardy start will have them loading on the favourite. If Palmer's charge drifted to an each-way price that would be a good bet but it looks very unlikely unless the favourite is backed to the exclusion of all. It is a fascinating race but i will be taking a watching brief. 

US Open Ante Post

The US Open is the final Grand Slam of 2016 and, as we have seen in previous years, this is the one major tournament in tennis which can throw up a surprise result. In 2014 in the men’s competition, Marin Cilic won his maiden Grand Slam title, beating Kei Nishikori in the final, and 12 months ago, in the women’s tournament, Flavia Pennetta beat her Italian compatriot Roberta Vinci in an unpredictable result to win her first big event in tennis.
Novak Djokovic will start the 2016 men’s tournament as the odds-on 4-5 favourite, but after an early exit at Wimbledon and a similar disappointment in the men’s Olympic competition, there is a strong case to take the Serbian on at Flushing Meadows in New York.

Andy Murray will no doubt be in contention for his second US Open title and he can be backed at 9-4 to win his second Grand Slam of the year after he came out on top at Wimbledon. However, he went out of this tournament in the fourth round in 2015, losing in a shock result to Kevin Anderson.
The preference in the outright betting for the men’s tournament has to be Milos Raonic. He is 16-1 with Betway to win his maiden Grand Slam crown. The big-hitting Canadian has had his most consistent year to date. He reached the semi-final of the Australian Open back in January, while earlier this summer he fell to Murray in the final on grass at Wimbledon.
The experience in London will be hugely beneficial to Raonic, who has got the game to trouble the very best in the sport. If Djokovic is not quite firing and Murray feels the strain of what has been a really long year so far, the Canadian can take advantage on his favourite surface in New York.
In the women’s US Open, Serena Williams will be desperate to make up for her disappointment in 2015, where she fell short of winning the calendar Grand Slam after losing to Vinici in the semi-final of her home Grand Slam event.
Williams has had a mixed season so far by her high standards. She was beaten in the finals of the Australian Open and French Open but she did go one better at Wimbledon, beating Angelique Kerber in the final. The American went into the women’s Olympic tournament as the hot favourite but she was surprisingly beaten by Elina Svitolina of Ukraine.
The mixed form of Williams means she is hard to back with confidence at 6/5. Instead, the advice is to side with Simona Halep, who is 8/1 with Betway to win her first Grand Slam. 
It is only a matter of time before Halep joins tennis’s list of Grand Slam winners. She has been ranked right near the top of the women’s rankings for some years now but just has not had the breaks required to succeed in the four major tournaments.
Halep showed what great form she was in recently when she won the Rogers Cup in Montreal on the hard courts. She beat some good players en-route to that title, including Kerber and Madison Keys in the final.
Although she has been around for a long time on the WTA, Halep is only 24, so she is unlikely to have peaked yet in the sport. She reached the semi-final 12 months ago but was beaten by the winner.
Recommendations:
Men’s US Open – Milos Raonic to win outright @ 16/1 with Betway
Women’s US Open – Simona Halep to win outright @ 8/1 with Betway

2:20 Newbury (12th Aug) DON DEADMAN MEMORIAL EBF STALLIONS MAIDEN STAKES (Plus 10 Race) (CLASS 4) (2yo)

An EBF Maiden Stakes (Plus 10) over 7f on good to firm going. 

Thirteen two-year-olds take part but I will simply detail a handful of talents worthy of note. 

Ed Walker has a fair juvenile on his hands. Ultimate Avenue is a bay colt and son of Excelebration racing in the familiar silks of P K Sui. This 340,000E yearling purchase wasn't too fancied in the betting on debut at Yarmouth over 7f but showed up well in third place in a contest where the first and second have big reputations. With that valuable experience on side this March foal has to go close. 

Owen Burrows unleashed a smart debutant at Salisbury when Akhalaaq defied his inexperience to win a shade clever. Muhajjal is another newcomer with a big reputation. This bay colt, a son of Cape Cross, cost 180,000G at the yearling sales and owned by Hamdan Al Maktoum. The success of Akhalaaq gives encouragement to today's runner who has been shaping up well on the gallops. I know this youngster is one of the best two-year-olds in the stable and could go well at respectable odds. [Presently 7/1].

Another horse to give a second chance is Hugo Palmer's Colibri. The stable has a string of talents and this son of the Australian sire Redoute's Choice didn't have much luck in running in what we know is a hot maiden. How many maidens are worth £16,000? This juvenile is a homebred for Al Asayl Bloodstock Ltd. I suspect connections expected a bold show on debut and Colibri is shorter in the betting for this maiden. 

To add to the mix William Haggas sends Meyrick, who is owned by Jon and Julia Aisbitt, who usually send their juveniles to Mich Channon. This bay colt is a son of Helmet and 110,000G yearling purchase from Tattersall's October Yearling Sales (Book 1) 2015. Haggas has a number of exceptional two-year-olds this season and although his debutantes come on for a run I wouldn't be surprised to see this horse go well and confident he will be winning this season. 

One of three fillies in the field. Syndicate is a bay filly and daughter of Dansili out of a winning mare. Ralph Beckett can send out debut winners although this March foal will have to be smart to beat the experienced colts.

Conclusion: This preview is more about pinpointing future winners than who will taste victory today. All noted are held in some regard and I would expect they will be winning sooner than later. Ultimate Avenue and Colibri have valuable race experience that will prove positive and both have each-way claims. Muhajjal is interesting for Owen Burrows and even though making his debut is one who could prove a tough nut to crack if not too inexperience. A fascinating race.