Saturday, 14 April 2018

Betting Like It's 1984

How many times have you searched Google for winning racing tips? 

What did you find? 

You may have found a number of successful websites including one of ours called Eric Winner. The trouble with so many punters is that they are not looking for long-term profits but an instant return on investment. Nothing wrong with that thought. In fact, it is something that all gamblers, bettors, investors would love to have in their armoury.  

Reading the literature to many ''Get Rich Quick'' schemes you kind of notice the fancy font that's highlighted in bold.   

I guess many people are not really looking for a gamble at all. Just a way of pretty much guaranteeing that they will win. 

Would you like a crystal ball?

Now you are probably reading that last sentence thinking I am making fun of the situation that so many gamblers find themselves. Who can tell the future? 

However, all investments are basically trying to foretell the future. If only I could see five minutes into the future! For starters, I would win Lotto. That would be a cool million or so even on a bad Saturday night. I guess if we could do that we would be hoping we could choose when we had that five minutes just to take advantage of the Euro Lottery for a £100M. 

Sadly, we can't see into the future. Well, not just yet. 


Compare Sports Betting Offers


You've seen the film Groundhog Day?  Re-living the same day time after time, in the hope of making it to a perfect...day.  

I have found a novel approach to gambling which is very much like a cross between Groundhog Day with a touch of uncertainty, but giving enough confidence that you should make a profit. 

Interesting. 

Here's an interesting question. Would you like to know which horse is likely (ideally definitely as we are talking Groundhogs here) to be backed? 

You are watching the betting pretty much sure Joe Bloggs racing in the 4:20 Wolverhampton is going to be backed. Substantially backed. 

It would be like knowing the future. Wouldn't you like to know how to do that?

You won't believe this...

I'm going to tell you how to do it for free.

How? 

Well, you may never have considered that non-runners are very interesting. Frustrating. Yes. You notice a non-runner when eight runners turn to seven and your each-way bet comes third. Bloody non-runners. 

However, these non-runners are like a goldmine.I know you have a puzzled look on your face. You're thinking I've either been drinking grandpa's medicine or taken a knock to the head or wallet. 

They are a goldmine!!!!!!!!!

Here's what you are looking for. A non-runner which is heavily backed. It's as simple as that. Because you can pretty much guarantee the same horse, running at a similar level will be backed next start. I've seen it happen time after time. Obviously, you need to be betting on the exchanges to make a profit or hold a juicy no-lose gamble. But it is a glimpse into the future without the need for a time machine or crystal ball. 

Don't believe it works? Watch and you will see. 

Thursday, 5 April 2018

Three 25/1 shots worth having in this year's Grand National


We have entered race month, and punters are beginning to put the finishing touches to their Grand National 2018 bets as the final field begins to take shape. Last year’s winner One For Arthur misses out on a shot at two-in-row due to a season-wrecking tendon injury, so we will have a new champion.
Who will that be? The recent trends tell us 25/1 shots fare well in the nation’s favourite handicap steeplechase, with two of the last four champions scoring at that very price. Those were Pineau De Re for Richard Newland in 2014 and Many Clouds 12 months later for Oliver Sherwood.
To strengthen that stat a little further, we also had 25/1 poke Saint Are place third last year. How much can be taken from a price? It’ll be interesting to find out and although they were starting prices and we’re still at the ante-post stage at the time of writing there are three horses carrying the magic price tag.

Do any of them tickle your fancy in this year’s Aintree 4m 2f slog over 30 fences? Timeform’s Grand National runner-by-runner guide covers the latest field but below you’ll find three eye-catchers at big odds worth keeping close.

Seeyouatmidnight


First, we have this plucky 10-year-old gelding out of the Sandy Thomson yard. Scottish trained horses don’t have the best record in the Grand National but One For Arthur upset the odds last year and there’s no reason Seeyouatmidnight can’t take the nation’s tally to three with a quick-fire double.
Odds compilers appear to be largely undecided over the chances of the bay, with quotes ranging from 25/1 to 20/1 but there’s no doubt he has their full attention as we approach the flag. He warmed up for the trip to Merseyside with a third-place finish around Newbury in the Doom Bar Handicap Chase. Run over 2m 3f, that was little more than a chance to keep warm for the big one and he got nowhere near winner Tiquer on the day but there’s plenty more to come from him.
That run ended a year-long absence from action, with a runner-up spot at Kelso in March 2017 behind Big River his penultimate test. Connections needed to appear in a chase to qualify for the bumper prize and the Newbury spin gave them that. We won’t read too much into the run other than he handled himself well, given the time away.

Gold Present

A runner that is backed by just about every one of the recent Grand National winning trends is Gold Present, who also carries a 25/1 price. Nicky Henderson has his string in fine shape at this time of year and this eight-year-old is no exception. He was pulled-up at Cheltenham in the Ultima Handicap Chase in March over 3m 1f but that shouldn’t put backers off, as many National kings failed to fire at Prestbury Park in the build-up.
Gold Present has won two of his last three outings, including victory in the Silver Cup at Ascot in December off a chunky 17/2. Pre-race favourite Singlefarmpayment was nowhere to be seen that day as Nico de Boinville got his mount home three lengths ahead of runner-up Frodon. As well as the result, backers were impressed by the victor’s round of jumping and smart turn of foot on the run-in. That was over 2m 7f so it’s difficult to judge but he appeared to have plenty in reserve when driving for the finish line, leaving the pack trailing.
He has many positives to pick through but one negative for players is he has run at Aintree only once before and failed to finish, falling in the Topham Handicap Chase last year - a contest won by Ultragold. If Gold Present stays on his feet, he’ll be a major player at the business end of the afternoon.

Rathvinden

There's a fantastic 25/1 price hanging off this progressive 10-year-old and that’s made to look all the better by the fact he goes to Liverpool as a recent Cheltenham Festival winner. Trained by Willie Mullins, he’ll be popular with casual backers on the day as well as those who saw him scoot home in the National Hunt Challenge Cup, where he finished ½ a length better than Ms Parfois.
Patrick Mullins sat in the saddle there and it’ll be interesting to see if he returns on April 14th but, if he does, punters won’t be shy in getting their money down at an attractive price. Unlike the hopefuls mentioned above, Rathvinden has already proven his fitness with that Cheltenham win coming over 3m 7f.
The National goes over an extended trip, of course, but he showed fight at the finish to hold off the runner-up in March and if he’s competitive in the Grand National, we should see plenty more of that determination to compete.

England lead the way in recent trends

Surprisingly, the Irish have a poor recent record of producing winners vs the UK and, in particular, England but Willie Mullins has given us one past champion back in 2005. Hedgehunter was the star of the show that year but he was rather shorter in the betting, scoring off an SP 7/1 favourite. Seeyouatmidnight carries the saltire as they double-up but Gold Present has the backing of the nation trends, as he was sharpened by Englishman Nicky Henderson at his Lambourn yard.
Henderson has never won the Grand National during his career as a trainer but when speaking to the media recently, he told race fans with an ear to the ground he was hopeful Gold Present could change all that. The four-time champion trainer has finished runner-up on two occasions with Zongalero in 1979 and The Tsarevich in 1987.

Thursday, 29 March 2018

Can you name the Grand National’s three most famous winners?

The Grand National was first run in 1836 (the winner was Duke, ridden by Martin Becher). Today the race continues to delight and surprise, it’s notoriously difficult to predict the winner. Yet, over the years, a few horses have shown the durability and endurance needed to win this National Hunt race on multiple occasions. So, who are the most famous winners? Can you name them? The handicap is ran over a testing 4 miles 514 yards around Aintree racecourse. The competitors jump 30 fences including the famous Chair and Canal Turn fences. Winners are tough, skilled jumpers with almost endless stamina. In reverse order, here are our top three favourites from across the years: 

Many Clouds


MANY CLOUDS WINNING THE 2015 GRAND NATIONAL

Many Clouds had every attribute of a staying chaser. He has to be one of the toughest horses in the history of racing and his final victory over Thistlecrack in the Cotswold Chase further backed up these claims. Many Clouds was the favourite to win the Gold Cup the same year, but unfortunately didn’t race. He then went into the 2015 National as a relative 25/1 outsider with a huge weight of 11 stone 9 pounds. 

Many Clouds attributes were his endless stamina, will to win and of course his exceptional jumping;. He finished his career with 12 victories in his 27 starts and was just shy of breaking the £1 million earnings - with £928,000. Trained by Trevor Hemmings, Many Clouds put in a faultless round of jumping and ran out a ready winner ahead of the ultra-consistent national horse in Saint Are. He will forever be remembered as one of the greatest winners of the iconic race. Many people are starting to have their Grand National 2018 racing bets on the race following the realise of the weights with most of the money being put on the fast improving Mullins trained Total Recall. Check out the amazing jockey cam footage of the race below.



Golden Miller

Golden Miller Following His Victory In 1934 Grand National
The stunning Golden Miller wasn’t just a Grand National winner, but also a five-time Cheltenham Gold Cup winner. He has won the Gold Cup more than any other horse and to this day is the only horse to win both races in the same year (1934). Golden Miller finished his racing career with 29 victories in his 52 starts and will forever be remembered as one of the greatest horses to grace National Hunt racing.

His famous 1934 Grand National win broke the course record in the process with a time of 9 min 20.4 seconds. During the race, he was carrying a welter Burdon of 12 stone and 2 pounds, a weight which is unheard of in the modern era. The great Golden Miller is without a doubt one of the greatest National winners in the history of the race. When looking ahead to 2018 the latest Grand National betting tips has Blaklion as a leading contender to improve upon his impressive course form.

Red Rum 

Red Rum Running Clear to Win His Record Third Grand National 1977
When the Grand National is mentioned there will always be one horse that epitomises what it is to be a champion and that was Red Rum. Trained by Ginger McCain, the tough horse did what no one believed possible in winning several nationals under huge weights. No horse has come close to matching him. Rum finished his iconic career with 25 victories in his 100 starts with his jumping continuing to be a huge asset throughout his racing life. He never fell. 

The National is renowned as being the ‘ultimate test of a horse’s courage’, and this sums up Red Rum perfectly. He ran in the National five times, winning on three occasions (1973-1974-1977) and finished second in the intervening years (1975-1976). His comeback third triumph for many is one of the greatest moments in the history of sport. 

Further cementing the horse’s legacy has to be the stunning victory in the 1973 Grand National, where he came from 30 lengths back to reel in the gallant Crisp. This performance from Crisp off 12 stone has to go down as one of the greatest performances of a horse in defeat as they pulled 25 lengths clear of the third L ’Escargot. The race had to be seen to be believed as they also broke the record time for the race which stood until the 1990 Grand National. Check out the iconic race below.



Which National horses do you remember best? Which ones have we missed, and which are your favourites? Let us know,  we'd love to hear from you. 

Thursday, 22 March 2018

Grand National 2018 - Runners at the Ready

Blaklion Grand National
It's getting closer to the big day: Grand National 2018. 14th April 5:15 Aintree. 

Hope you have your betting slip ready because the Grand National 2018 Runners are limbering up to the challenge of four miles and two furlongs of highs and lows. That's just the fences. The names as famous as the race itself the Chair, Foinavon, Becher's Brook and even the Canal turn. Two circuits to have horse, jockey and punters chomping at the bit. It is a race which stops people in their tracks.

So what are we to make of this year's race? 

The leading favourites:

Blaklion could well start favourite for this year's Grand National. Bookmakers have Nigel Twiston-Davies nine-year-old priced at 10/1. He finished fourth in the 2017 National so knows his way around this tricky course. So what could be his stumbling block? The fact that this bay gelding is 9lb higher in the weights which is a long haul over four miles. A leading chance. 

Total Recall is trained by top Irish handler Willie Mullins. The stable won the National back in 2005 when Hedgehunter prevailed. This nine-year-old son of Westerner is priced 10/1 with Ladbrokes. 

It's worth noting that just about anything can happen in the Grand National and why five 100/1 winners have made punters' days across the years.   

Another Irish raider is Tiger Roll. He didn't have much luck when pulling up in the Irish National. However, he proved his class when winning at Cheltenham in 2017. This eight-year-old is trained by Gordon Elliot. Definitely a horse who should stay the trip and holds each-way claims at 16/1. 

The Last Samuri is a horse who has had mixed fortunes in this race and a speculative price of 16/1. Kim Bailey's charge had a disaster when favourite in 2017. He was badly hampered and pulled up thereafter. It was a bad day for favoruite backers. Punters will be hoping he can show the form when finishing runner-up in 2016. He is still 10lb heavier than that big run which means he has to find something.  

Other leading contenders include: Minella Rocco. A real class horse who needs to come back to his best 16/1. 

Good luck with your selections. It pays to take the price rather than wait until the off as the odds generally shorten in the closing minutes.   

A quick rundown of the betting: Blaklion 10/1, Total Recall 10/1, Tiger Roll 16/1, Minella Rocco, The Last Samuri 16/1, Anibale Fly 16/1, Cause Of Causes 16/1, Bellshill 20/1, Gold Present, Rathvinden 25/1, Seeyouatmidnight 25/1, Vincente 25/1. 33/1 Bar.

Monday, 12 March 2018

My Name is Graham...

We're back from our annual pilgrimage to Great Yarmouth. 

It's in memory of my late father, Colin and many relatives sadly passed including uncle Fred, Keith, Roy and their friends who loved a bet. 

Avid readers will probably know we go to Yarmouth for fun, gambling and good food. The gambling part takes centre stage although I don't bet big money at the races on holiday compared with working from home. I find it difficult to be as professional as in my daily routines. The caravan I shared with a group of five isn't the most ideal place to contemplate wise bets although I did settle in with the holiday distractions better than I thought. 

I went to a couple of the race meetings and found a few winners which made it worthwhile. 

I missed meeting up with Jerry Banks which is a real shame. Jerry runs the great website called Jerry's Best Bets. He found the winner in the Listed race at Yarmouth, Beautiful Morning, who pretty much sauntered home in style. 

The casino wasn't such a pleasurable experience. I do enjoy the Grosvenor Casino because it is an old listed building with real character and charm. It is a great place to go for a cheap meal. They want to get you through the door and lose your money. I have done well at the casino over the last few years and, believe it or not, won money. This time the roulette wheel was spinning without luck and over three nights took a wedge out of my wallet. Not good. It can be a depressing betting, watching that bloody ball stop in a number you haven't picked. 

It seems so easy after it has stopped! 

I'm still winning long term but not a great deal. The casino tempts punters from the races by giving a free drink and free bet to all who take their race badge. Basically, it is like them giving you £10 for free. Considering most people lose it is probably the best £10 they have ever spend on marketing. 

It is interesting watching others gamble. 

You get a real mix of people. Some betting 50p chips, £1 chips...while a few are either there to impress or just don't know when to stop. 

I guess everyone has their limit. 

I've been to the Grosvenor a lot and you see a few familiar faces. I'm pretty sure the majority of their customers are regular bettors. I say that because even mid-week they look a familiar crowd. 

A couple of them pretty big gamblers.

Each to their own. I have chatted to one or two in passing but not to appreciate their background or where they made their money. However, they are clearly not short of cash by the manner they bet. 

One of the regulars is Graham. He dresses in a comfortable fashion which belies how much he bets. He isn't there to impress in the fashion stakes but boy does he get the money out as that roulette wheel spins for its life scorching the veneer while fate decides your fortune. 

Graham didn't have the normal pink chips worth £100. In fact, at first, I couldn't see where he was getting his chips from. The croupier kept pushing £500 of £5 chips in his direction and then five £100 chips. So he was cashing up £1000 a time. I noticed he had a number of light-blue chips worth a grand a piece. 

To be fair, he was having about as much luck as me for the most part. He wistfully placed £500 in £5 chips across the table and lost the lot in about six consecutive spins. He carried on betting regardless if not with extra verve as he started putting the five £100 chips on too hoping lady luck would come smiling after a number of dastardly verdicts. 

Thankfully, Graham hit a single number with one of his £100 chips winning £3500. I heard him mention he was down £6000 before that win. I had seen him on the other table a bit earlier. 

Where do these people get all their money from? I will have to get chatting to him some time although he isn't really my kind of person or at least that is how I feel.  

The fine dining part comes from visiting Pamela's restaurant just around the corner from the casino. A jewel in the crown of Yarmouth. Well worth a visit with exceptional service and gourmet delights. I had one of those cocktails made with dry ice which looks rather spectacular if not difficult to drink as I kept breathing in those fumes. A great few days down Yarmouth. 

Thinking of those loving people past & present. 

Saturday, 10 March 2018

Should I Follow the Money When Betting?

Betting Market Moves
Did you see that well-backed horse - hosed up!

How many times have you seen a horse backed off the boards win? When you flick through the results they all seem to win. But is that really the case? I don't know many different areas of horse racing, but I do understand two-year-old horse racing to a very high standard. After studying this niche for over 30-years, I can speak with some authority. However, in truth, the only way to make an objective assessment is to run a statistical test on the data to see if it is significant.

Data has power and limitation. 

I have little doubt following money within two-year-old racing is worthy of note from a trainer perspective. I have run studies on all juvenile trainer debut runners and horses making their second start. A good few trainers are very consistent and this is backed up by regular profits.I don't want to detail any specific names because this information is hard to find. It is similar to following the seam of gold and hope it leads to a major find. 

What I would say, is that two-year-old horse trainers have a much better strike rate on their second start compared with debut. Hardly surprising, hey? Although a couple of trainers feature just about as good results on both starts. This proves how fit some trainers get their horses. It is important to understand the intent of owners and trainers. If they don't want to win on debut they are very unlikely to do so.  

Interestingly, the betting is very important for most horses racing on their second start. In fact, I would suggest that a small drift from one price to the next can be the difference between winning and losing. Anything can happen in racing. Even the biggest, most powerful stables, can win a 50/1. Simply because they prove a surprise package or the opposition are poor or a favourite disappoints. 

In general, the betting of most two-year-old horses is significant. Smaller trainers can get lucky and have a real star in their stable but even these are usually known as a talent before the start of the race. They are backed. 

Wednesday, 7 March 2018

Getting Familiar With Latest Exotic Bets Horse Racing Trends For Big Events


Grand National 2018
Many people today spend their time watching horse racing and so they look around for best place for wager horse race. With advent of internet you have an opportunity to grab a free Grand National Bet here online. Horse racing is all about betting on fastest horse and so you have to try and select the right one.

In present time, horse racing is an event in which any one is free to participate. Gamblers are considered as important elements of organized horse racing events. In most cases new betters till date rely on unimaginative betting options that in most cases only help in flow of money through the betting windows.

Presently race tracks offers gambles with numerous types of bets and wager options for both professional and casual players. Some of them even manage to earn life changing scores by placing decent bets. It’s all about getting familiar with the improving trends of placing bets in the game play.

Betting types and categories

In general when you want to place bets for events like Cheltenham 2018 horse racing, you will have to perform some extra level of research. The bets in Cheltenham 2018 events can be categorized in two ways – exotic and straight bets. Pro players are already aware of the two types and so they manage to make their best win. For new players it is important to get familiar before placing.

Straight bets – These types include win, place and show bets.

Exotic bets – These types are general categorized as multi race and intra race type of bets.
Here let’s first get familiar with exotic bets – Intra race and Multi race type. When placing intra race bets gamblers will be allowed to place their bets for each single race – Trifectas, exactas, superfectas and quinellas. When placing Multi-race bets gamblers are allowed to make selection of horses from consecutive race winners. The bets can be placed using single betting ticket itself.

Exotic betting trends

The intra race betting options include four categories betting types. The benefit you get here is that you are allowed to make selection of multiple horses during the same race event. So you can be a winner for finishing at any position from first to forth place.

Placing these types of bets means you may have to plan your schedule in advance. It is everything about observation of past few races and horses performance. Apart from this you have much better opportunities to make your best win and big win. These types of betting trends were recently introduced around 30 years back and are widely used by professional bettors today.

There are still new bettors who find placing Intra race bets a bit difficult as the selection may not be simple.

The moment you have to place Quinella bets you will be allowed to place the bets for first or second winners place. The order of bets pacing is not fixed for any racing event as users have their benefit of selecting their preferred order.

When select exacta betting type you will be offered with exact order to select for either first or second place winner. You can also make use of multiple bets for playing exacta bets.
Triactor or Trifecta betting is a type in which you are allowed to place bets for first three orders or winners place. The betting type follows a fixed order for the gambler to win. To increase your chance of wining big money you have to try and place bets on multiple races at the time.

As the name suggests, superfecta betting allows players to bet for winners of first four positions in a fixed order. To effectively make your best win it is important for you to get familiar with right betting strategy. This may also vary from one race track or horse to another. You need to have keen observation of the past races to win big money.

When playing multi race betting type you has an option to make selection for wagering bets on any number that are winners from 2nd to 6th place. The bets can be placed on individual race at a time. Apart from this you also have option to place bets including daily double or any particular selection. This type of bets also offers with numerous but significant benefits. You will get a benefit of placing bets in selected pool.