Rising star Karen Khachanov to Win Moscow Kremlin Cup 2016

Moscow 2016, Tennis, Karen Khachanov,
Rising star Karen Khachanov can prove a handful at his home tournament in Moscow and is cracking value at 14/1 EachWay with PaddyPower.

The Kremlin Cup is one of three ATP 250 ranking events on the men's tour this week as the European Indoor season takes over from last month's Asia Swing.

Roberta Bautista Agut is the top seed in Moscow and chasing one of three remaining places in the race to London. RBA is playing very consistent again which was evident in his run to his maiden Masters 1000 Final in Shanghai at the weekend, losing out to Andy Murray 7-5 6-1.  RBA is the 7/2 jolly this week however after such a busy week and a change in time zones I am happy to leave the versatile Spaniard out of my Outright plans despite finishing runner-up here for the past two years losing both times to Marin Cilic in a tournament he clearly enjoys playing in. Cilic is not back to defend his title and this looks a wide open event this week with some big prices on offer.

Victor Troicki is on my radar having shown a high level of form against Rafa Nadal who he beat in straight sets in the quick conditions of Shanghai. However in true Troicki fashion he then imploded the following match and despite the 7/1 looking generous for the 2010 Champion here, I cannot trust the frustrating Serb to string it together for a full week with his usual top form coming early in the season over in Australia, not towards the end of a long campaign.

Alberto Ramos is playing arguably the best tennis of his career, the second seed here and boasts decent current form when was runner-up in Chengdu a couple of weeks back and should be at the business end of proceedings again this week.

Winner of the Chengdu title two weeks ago was the very powerful and talented Russian Karen Khachanov who won his first ATP title and I expect it to be the first of many for this imposing and confident 20-year-old from Moscow. 

Khachanov was handed a well deserved wild card for his home tournament and having beaten Ramos so recent in his first final and can also boast a 3 set win over top seed Roberta Bautista-Agut in Barcelona back in April on the clay, he is sure to be a handful and be looking to go deep this week into the latter stages in front of home support.

He boasts very good stats on his breakthrough season in terms of service holds and breaks and at 14/1 with Paddy Power or 12/1 general appeals as the best value each-way at the Kremlin Cup where it is half the odds should Khachanov make the final in the City he was born. 

The in-form Russian gets his tournament underway on Tuesday afternoon where he is 2/7 to beat Damir Dzhumur who struggles away from the clay and Khachanov should find plenty of break opportunities against a player with a weak serve.

The top seeds enter the fray on Wednesday so prices should hold until early Wednesday morning.


ATP Moscow - Karen Khachanov to win Outright Each Way @ 14/1 Paddy Power or 12/1 General.

(Each Way Terms 1/2 Odds for 1-2 finish).

Portugal Masters European Tour 2016

Portugal Masters, European Tour
Hi All, 

Another week, and another hard luck story, with half the selections placing inside the top 4 of their respective tournaments! Casey, Bland and Fleetwood in firm contention throughout the duration of both events! The door being firmly knocked on now, with places coming ten a penny, the winner has to be around the corner. We lost a small number of points due to dead heat rules, which saw us end up just 1 point down for the week, and with the return of investment still over the 40% figure for the year, we are doing pretty good, and hopefully you are all enjoying following as we come into the final few months of the service being free of charge. 

On that note; there have been a couple of different sites that have contacted me regarding taking on board my service for next year onwards, and discussions are still ongoing, but as soon as I have any concrete information about the cost and location of my service I will of course let you all know. On to this week; and I have concentrated my attentions on the Portugal Masters, at a venue I know well and enjoy; the article inclusive of selections can be found below: - 

Portugal Masters, European Tour – 25 pts Outlay 

At Victoria Club, 7,146 yards, par 71 – Thursday October 20th to Sunday October 23rd 

Designed by the legendary Arnold Palmer and first opened in 2004, the Victoria Clube de Golfe Course is a championship layout that measures 7,146 yards and plays to a par of 71. One of five courses at Vilamoura, the Victoria Clube de Golfe hosted the World Cup of Golf back in 2005, when Stephen Dodd and Bradley Dredge of Wales triumphed. 

With generous fairways and gentle rough, there are plenty of birdies to be had but with several lakes and hazards framing the course, there is certainly a risk-and-reward element to many holes. Great care has been taken to ensure the preservation of the surrounding wetlands and natural vegetation, including carob, olive and almond trees. 

A field packed with Ryder Cup stars, European Tour winners and home-grown heroes will descend on the Algarve for the tenth edition of the Portugal Masters. Record-breaking rookie Thomas Pieters and defending champion Andy Sullivan will bring Ryder Cup pedigree to Victoria Clube de Golfe, together with three men who formed part of Europe’s backroom team at Hazeltine National, Thomas Bjørn, Padraig Harrington and Paul Lawrie. The duo will be joined in Vilamoura by in-form Swede Alex Noren, who has won three titles this year, including last week at the British Masters supported by Sky Sports, big-hitting Spaniard Alvaro Quiros, and his compatriot José Maria Olazábal. 

Having been side-lined for 18 months since last year’s Masters, a tournament he won on two occasions, Olazábal will continue his comeback from injury in the Algarve. Ricardo Gouveia, currently 93rd in the Race to Dubai and virtually guaranteed a place on the European Tour next term, will lead the home challenge.

NAP – THOMAS PIETERS 8/1 (Bet365 & BetVictor) 10 pts WIN 

IWAC – TOMMY FLEETWOOD 16/1 (PaddyPower) 2.5 pt EW

(PaddyPower) 1pt EW 

NOTE: As per usual, please do be careful and aware of who you are betting with for the golf, amazingly a lot of the higher profile companies change week by week on what place terms they offer. This week at the Portugal Masters PaddyPower are offering places on the top 7 at 1/5 odds, so we will be staying with them for our each-way terms.

Note: *NB – ALEXANDER LEVY 14/1 (PaddyPower) 3 pts EW WITHDRAWN

Replacement BetHIDEKI MATSUYAMA - CIMB Classic (PGA Tour), PaddyPower paying top 6 at 14/1 3 pts EW 

This Week’s Outlay – 25 pts

Hope you have a good week, and good luck to all those following, 




Safeway Open - PGA Tour & British Masters European Tour 2016

Hi All, 

Those of you who were following the updates via twitter would of know that last week was nearly a tremendous week, at the half-way and three-quarter stage we had the top 15 flooded with players, but a fantastic weekend of golf from England’s Tyrell Hatton really took the tournament away from anyone; with only Fisher in 2nd and Wiesberger in 7th seeing us secure some place money. A tough week on tour to select for, with 168 pros teeing it up, so to have all 7 selections make the cut, and 5 of them to finish inside the top 20 was a pretty good effort. 

Moving on, and amazing to the start of the new season on The PGA Tour, with also The British Masters being played just on the outskirts of London; this week’s article inclusive of some advised bets can be found below: -

Safeway Open, PGA Tour – 11 pts Outlay 

At Silverado Resort & Spa, 7,203 yards, par 72 – Thursday October 13th to Sunday October 16th 

Once the estate of a Civil War general and later U.S. senator from California, the Napa Valley property was transformed into a resort in the 1960s and Robert Trent Jones Jr. signed to build two 18-hole courses. The PGA TOUR arrived shortly thereafter, launching the Kaiser International in 1968 to begin a 13-year run at the resort. Silverado later was part of the Champions Tour schedule as host of The Transamerica from 1989-2002. Hall of Famer Johnny Miller and two partners bought Silverado in 2010, with Miller quickly overseeing an overhaul of both courses. 

Tiger Woods, ending a 14-month injury layoff from competition, and Phil Mickelson serve as headliners for the opening event of the 2016-17 season, joined by three other players from among the top 25 in the world rankings. World No.12 Paul Casey is the highest ranked in the line-up. Mickelson and U.S. teammate Matt Kuchar are the only Ryder Cup competitors to sign up for the new season's opener. Jon Rahm, who earned his PGA TOUR card via sponsor exemptions after turning pro last season, makes his first start as a full TOUR member. The Spaniard tied for second at the RBC Canadian Open and third at the Quicken Loans National. Stanford senior Maverick McNealy, No. 1 in the world amateur rankings, and Cal's Collin Morikawa have accepted sponsor exemptions into the field. Aaron Wise, who won this year's NCAA title at Oregon, also was given an exemption. He turned pro in June and finished fourth on the Mackenzie Tour-PGA TOUR Canada's Order of Merit. The field boasts 38 graduates from either the Web.com Tour or its four-event Finals, including combined money leader Wesley Bryan. 

NAP – PAUL CASEY 12/1 (PaddyPower) 

3 pts EW NB – JOHN RAHM 22/1 (PaddyPower) 

1.5 pts EW IWAC – SMYLIE KAUFMAN 66/1 (PaddyPower) 1 pt EW 

British Masters, European Tour – 11 pts Outlay 

At The Grove, 7,121 yards, par 71 – Thursday October 13th to Sunday October 16th 

The course bears the markings of the renowned golf course architect Kyle Phillips, whose previous creations include the epic Kingsbarns Golf Links, and was designed in 2003. Intricacies are a feature of this course, The Grove in Hertfordshire showcasing large undulating greens with wispy grass surrounding most of the bunkers on the course. The Grand Union canal runs alongside holes 12 and 13, with the course’s two nines reversed for the British Masters. 

It is the first time the tournament has been staged at The Grove, with the only previous.

European Tour event staged at the Hertfordshire course in 2006, the WGC – American Express Championship, which was won by Tiger Woods. 

Headlining this week’s field are six Major champions including Danny Willett, Y.E Yang, Graeme McDowell, Trevor Immelman, Paul Lawrie and José María Olazábal. It will be a first appearance for Olazábal since the 2015 Masters Tournament and the 23-time European Tour champion is sure to draw a large crowd. 

Defending champion Fitzpatrick will have a battle on his hands with the likes of Sweden’s Alex Noren, a two-time winner on the European Tour in 2016, US Open Championship runner-up Shane Lowry, and the most recent winner of the European Tour, countryman Tyrrell Hatton, who carded a 62 course record-equalling at St Andrews on his way to securing his maiden European Tour title. 

Tournament host Donald will be joined by compatriots and members of The 2016 Ryder Cup team Lee Westwood, Chris Wood and Andy Sullivan, as they continue their march towards the season Race to Dubai finale.

NAP – ROSS FISHER 20/1 (BetFred) 3 pts EW 

NB – TOMMY FLEETWOOD 25/1 (SkyBet) 1.5 pts 

EW IWAC – RICHARD BLAND 40/1 (BetFred) 1 pt EW 

*MULTIPLE* - Paul Casey (Safeway Open) & Ross Fisher (British Masters) 247/1 (PaddyPower) 1.5pts EW

NOTE: As per usual, please do be careful and aware of who you are betting with for the golf, amazingly a lot of the higer profile companies change week by week on what place terms they offer. This week at The Safeway Open PaddyPower are offering places on the top 7 at 1/5 odds, so we will be staying with them! For The British Masters event, both SkyBet and BetFred are 1/4 odds for the top 6 places.

2:20 Salisbury Racing Tips (10th Oct) BATHWICK CAR & VAN HIRE MAIDEN AUCTION STAKES (Div II) (CLASS 5) (2yo)

A Maiden Auction Stakes over 6f 212y on good to soft going.  Ten two-year-olds take part. I have always said knowledge is power. It is exactly that. How much do you know? It's an interesting question. So many times on websites we read about the tip, a touch of analysis, but how often do you really understand the mind of the gambler? All those years of working and polishing the stone. Confidence. How confident do you feel about the information you forward or follow? 

I know a lot about each and every horse trainer of two-year-olds. It's my job. I have my eye on James Fanshawe's Narjes. This bay daughter of Sepoy is a relatively cheap yearling purchase at 20,000G, actually bought by David Lanigan. This filly has very good win chances and especially to be placed. At the odds of 7/4 there isn't too much meat on the bone for the place aspect. But if drifting a touch is a decent bet. 

WTA Hong Kong & Tianjin Open 2016

Open WTA Hong Kong 

Top seed Angelique Kerber who is the new World number one since her third grand slam final of the year at the US Open in September will now set her sights on the WTA finals early next month to finish off the season still as the top of the tree.

She won't get a better opportunity to add to her growing list of silverware this week in Hong Kong where she sits in a very favourable half of the draw with only pint-sized Gavrilova (8th seed) as a potential banana skin or the 6th Caroline Garcia who blows hot and cold and not a good match-up against the defensive skills of Kerber. German, Kerber, would see off this pair without having to go through the gears leaving the winner of a difficult to figure out the bottom half of the draw to see who the real danger to the title would be. 

2nd seed Venus Williams plays decently on Asia however at 36 and after a long season with the WTA finals already secure it could just be batting practice for Venus this week and remaining healthy for the coming few weeks the priority.

3rd seed Joanna Konta has the bit between her teeth right now and in search of a top eight spot for Singapore, she will go deep once again having lost in the Beijing final only a few hours ago on Sunday. Kerber has a similar style to Radwaska who beat Konta in straight sets in that final and add to the fact Kerber has by far the fresher legs I would be confident should they meet in a final.

Main danger for me and decent each-way value at 8/1 with half the odds to make the final is the 5th seed Caroline Wozniacki. Playing on her favoured surface and racking up the wins once again she is looking every bit the player that took her to two US Open finals. Each-way terms are half the odds to make the final and 8s looks the best bet from the bottom half however it is Kerber for me at 9/4 with Bet365, Paddy Power, Coral, and Betway to win in Hong Kong Outright. 

WTA Tianjin

Agnieska Radwanska returns to defend her title and the 8/1 from last year is only a skinny 7/4 this time around. Aga is playing fantastic tennis as she usually is able to sustain for the full year to her credit. The Polish star is already guaranteed her slot in Singapore and coming off the back of the title in Beijing where she won convincingly is a rightful favourite this week but feel she is worth taking on having played a lot of tennis lately.

2nd seed Svetlana Kuznetsova is at 5/1 general and is my selection this week here, playing on a surface she loves and with the motivation of getting back into the race to Singapore contention having dropped down due to Konta's run to the Beijing final. 

The Russian I feel will bring the highest intensity to the courts in Tianjin and looks the only other class act bar Radwanska. 

Monica Puig is the 3rd favourite at 14/1 and this price adds the to the idea of it being between the front two in the betting, the Rio Olympics Gold medalist has been in party mood since her shock title and I don't see her blossoming again until the 2017 season. 

Vesnina and local favourite Shuai Zhang are also at 14/1 but unlikely again to trouble Radwanska or Kuznetsova for the title.

It is the fresh and determined Kuznetsova for me over the defending champion Radwanska at the far more appealing 5/1 general here in Tianjin. 


WTA Hong Kong - Angelique Kerber to win Outright @ 9/4 Bet365, Paddy Power, Coral, & Betway. 

WTA Tianjin  - Svetlana Kuznetsova to win Outright @ 5/1 General.

Mrs. Danvers to Shine in the Cornwallis

Friday is a big day for Jonathan Portman and Turf Club 2014. It's time to unleash the pocket rocket that is Mrs. Danvers. This compact grey filly, a daughter of Hellvelyn, hit the headlines for being the exception to the rule. A cheaply purchased breeze-up buy for just £1,000. Well, she's paid that back one hundred and fifty times!

She won in a superior fashion when trouncing her rivals on debut at odds of 33/1. Next start she snaffled £10,000 in prize money in stylish fashion at Windsor.

Mrs. Danvers was just warming her muscles for the big pot of gold.

Newbury. The Wetherby Super Sprint. A field of twenty-three runners. Did she care? No. Connections pocketed £122,000 plus change. 

Last time out she took home less prize money but showed ample ability to gain black type and Listed-class success. 

With total prize earnings of more than £150,000, there is nothing grey about this honest, speedy, winning horse. 

Mrs. Danvers competes against ten rivals in the Cornwallis Stakes Group 3 at Newmarket (1:35) over her customary five-furlong dash. The trainer is ready. Connections are ready. The punters have placed their bets. 

Is Mrs. Danvers ready? Yes... 

Horse racing is built on dreams, fairytales...tears of joy in the hope that you can find that diamond in the sand. Four wins from four. The crowds will be cheering for five.

Good luck. 

Japanese Super Star Kei Nishikori looks good value for third title in Tokyo at 5/2

Kei Nishikori, Tennis,
Japanese Super Star Kei Nishikori looks good value for third title in Tokyo at 5/2. 

ATP Tokyo

Top seed Kei Nishikori plays in a far weaker top half of the draw and the 5/2 general appeals this week. We commence the 2nd round of matches through the night with a 3am start in what is the middle of the seasons three week Asia Swing, before the tour moves back to Europe for the final leg of the season for the indoor campaign. 

Nishikori brushed aside last year's shock early exit at the hands of eventual finalist Benoit Paire with a victory over tricky American leftie Donald Young in these very quick outdoor conditions of Tokyo. 

I feel the top half is where we need to concentrate as the bottom half is littered with big servers that will require plenty of tiebreak luck in probably two or three matches just to reach the championship game so I am happy to leave out front runners in that section like Gael Monfils at 11/2 (third favourite), last week's winner for us in Shenzhen Tomas Berdych 8/1 who's body will surely struggle to hold out for two weeks running following his lay off from appendicitis. Nick Kyrgios could pop up and 9/1 and appeals most from the bottom half but feel he would still really struggle to beat this week's selection Kei Nishikori should he even make the final from a difficult berth.

Ivo Karlovic should not also be dismissed at 18/1 coming fresh off the back of a good run at the US Open and conditions will be very much in Dr Ivo's favour like many from that bottom half who's serve will be tough to break. 

I will leave the bottom half coin-toss, tie breakers to unfold, and only see 4th seed Marin Cilic who is short enough at 9/2 second favourite as the primary danger in making the final for Nishikori who is 1/10 to beat Joao Sousa of Portugal who has been struggling with a knee injury of late and then David Goffin or Jiri Veserly will not put any fear up the top seeds game in a quarter-final warm up before facing Cilic in the semi's. 

The Croaitian lost to Nishikori here last year 6-3 in the third set decider so the Japanese star has that victory to draw on as well as the box office home support he will embrace. Nishikori leads the recent Cincinnati champion 7-4 on the head to head that has included the most recent two matches and at 5/2 offers far more appeal for the fresh top seed over the 9/2 for the inconsistent Croatian who will probably find a 250 ranking event indoors as his next success before the season is out. 

Recommendations - ATP Tokyo. Kei Nishikori to win Outright @ 5/2 General.